The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Biel 42.8%
Draw 21.3%
Lugano 35.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.7%
20.8%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
21.5%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Biel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biel than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+3%)
Biel - Lugano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Sateri H. (G)
32. Mayer R. (G)
75. Yakovenko A.
26. Aebischer D.
52. Aeschbach C.
63. Dahlstrom C.
29. Sylvegard M.
10. Bertaggia A.
24. Andersson L. (A)
97. Thurkauf C. (C)
53. Skinner J.
12. Innala J.
Line 2
86. Trutmann D.
22. Alatalo S. (A)
18. Stampfli Y.
52. Peltonen J.
16. Hofer F.
17. Fazzini L. (A)
92. Haas G. (C)
21. Sanford Z.
61. Zwerger D.
11. Zanetti M.
Line 3
71. Burren Y.
60. Thomson L.
49. Zryd M.
25. Muller M.
15. Sablatnig Y.
91. Olsson D.
19. Neuenschwander J.
73. Shore N.
25. Rajala T. (A)
15. Lycksell O.
Line 4
98. Christen L.
65. Cjunskis H.
23. Sever M.
7. Tanner R.
73. Cajka P.
23. Morini G.
89. Vermin J.
27. Henry C.
Substitutes
17. Bartschi J.
13. Peltonen A.
60. Ostlund V. (G)
34. Schlegel N. (G)
Coaches
. Dube C.
. Mitell T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
04:23, Haas G. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:23, Innala J. (2 min),
03:47, 1 - 0, Skinner J. (G), Andersson L. (A), Sylvegard M. (A2)
08:42, 1 - 1, Innala J. (G), Fazzini L. (A),
10:15, 1 - 2, Tanner R. (G), Olsson D. (A),
18:12, 2 - 2, Sever M. (G), Haas G. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:47, Tanner R. (2 min),
05:35, Neuenschwander J. (2 min),
10:44, 2 - 3, Innala J. (G), Thurkauf C. (A), Muller M. (A2)
19:37, 2 - 4, Shore N. (G),
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th in the National League (Play Out: ) and 10th in the Promotion - National League Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Biel won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Biel (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lugano has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Biel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Biel has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:56 (averaging 3:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Biel against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 32:18 goals (averaging 3.2:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
10
Lugano
17
6
1
2
8
53:58
22
12
Biel
16
6
0
2
8
51:55
20
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Lugano: 4.38% Biel: 2.63%
Last Results with these Odds
Biel - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.67%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.
Switzerland
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Sateri H. (G) 
Mayer R. (G) 
Yakovenko A. 
Dahlstrom C. 
Skinner J. 
Hofer F. 
Sanford Z. 
Zanetti M. 
Olsson D. 
Cjunskis H. 
Sever M. 
Cajka P. 
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