Match Info

National League - Round 9

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: PostFinance Arena (Bern)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	Bern		Biel

	1	X	2
	1.85	4.50	3.30	Watch
	1.80	4.50	3.40
	1.80	4.40	3.35
	1.87	4.36	3.26
	1.8	4.62	3.37	Watch
	1.85	4.30	3.20
	1.84	4.55	3.52	Watch
	1.80	4.40	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.86)	4.45 ↑ (4.37)	3.34 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bern
51.1%

Draw
21%

Biel
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

21.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

24.1%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Biel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bern than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bern, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biel than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Bern - Biel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
50. von Burg C. (G)	35. Sateri H. (G)
5. Mitchell I.	9. Soderstrom V.
57. Barandun D.	52. Aeschbach C.
63. Rohrbach D.	29. Sylvegard M.
15. Aaltonen M.	24. Andersson L. (A)
66. Milano S.	53. Skinner J.
Line 2
4. Dionicio R.	86. Trutmann D. (A)
37. Lindholm A.	75. Yakovenko A.
71. Bemstrom E.	16. Hofer F.
98. Baumgartner B. (A)	92. Haas G. (C)
83. Muller M.	61. Zwerger D.
Line 3
51. Rhyn N.	98. Christen L.
44. Kreis S.	18. Stampfli Y.
96. Mottard P.	15. Sablatnig Y.
81. Abols R.	19. Neuenschwander J.
8. Marchon M. (A)	23. Sever M.
Line 4
41. Kindschi S.	71. Burren Y.
64. Alge M.	49. Zryd M.
91. Ritzmann F.	89. Vermin J.
10. Scherwey T.	73. Cajka P.
	17. Bartschi J.
Substitutes
43. Graf A.	60. Ostlund V. (G)
33. Zurkirchen S. (G)
Coaches
. Aubin S.	. Dube C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
10:05, Sablatnig Y. (2 min),
12:41, Zryd M. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:33, Sylvegard M. (2 min),
00:33, Marchon M. (2 min),
02:33, 1 - 0, Rhyn N. (G),
09:42, Mitchell I. (2 min),
14:11, Christen L. (2 min),
14:16, 2 - 0, Milano S. (G), Bemstrom E. (A), Mitchell I. (A2)
17:38, 2 - 1, Skinner J. (G), Yakovenko A. (A), Sylvegard M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:59, Scherwey T. (2 min),
02:59, Zwerger D. (2 min),
07:00, Zryd M. (2 min),
08:48, Aaltonen M. (2 min),
14:10, 2 - 2, Andersson L. (G), Sylvegard M. (A),
17:18, 3 - 2, Bemstrom E. (G), Mitchell I. (A),
19:24, 4 - 2, Scherwey T. (G),
19:47, Neuenschwander J. (2 min),

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 13th in the National League (Play Out: ) and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bern won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Bern (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Biel has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bern is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bern has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:50 (averaging 3.3:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bern against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 34:24 goals (averaging 3.4:2.4 per game).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Bern: 7.51% Biel: 3.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Bern	8	3	0	3	2	25:25	12
13	Biel	9	3	0	1	5	29:32	10

Last Results with these Odds

Bern - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.18%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bern
Swiss National League Hockey
03.10.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Bern	4:3 OT ✺
02.10.26	Bern - Genève-Servette	2:3 penalties ✺
29.09.26	Fribourg-Gottéron - Bern	5:2 ✺
25.09.26	Bern - Ajoie	2:3 AET ✺
22.09.26	EHC Kloten - Bern	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- EHC Biel
Swiss National League Hockey
03.10.26	Biel - Davos	4:3 ✺
02.10.26	Lausanne HC - Biel	7:4 ✺
29.09.26	ZSC Lions - Biel	6:3 ✺
27.09.26	Biel - Genève-Servette	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	EHC Kloten - Biel	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.09.26	Biel - Bern	4:7
Swiss National League Hockey
14.03.26	Bern - Biel	4:0
12.03.26	Biel - Bern	4:3
28.02.26	Bern - Biel	2:3
10.01.26	Biel - Bern	1:2
03.12.25	Bern - Biel	6:2
31.10.25	Biel - Bern	5:6 penalties

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