The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Björklöven 25.6%
Draw 22.2%
Rögle 52.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.8%
22.6%
45.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
23.7%
47.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Björklöven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Björklöven's form might have worsened.
Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rögle's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Björklöven than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Björklöven - Rögle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
50. Tuohimaa F. (G)
75. Holm A. (G)
47. Bjork M.
58. Johansson F.
16. Ekestahl-Jonsson L.
44. de Haan C.
34. Di Giuseppe P.
62. Horky L.
33. Lundin A.
22. Olofsson F.
86. Kovacs R.
94. Koblar T.
Line 2
44. Didier J.
6. LaDue P.
24. Cronholm L.
51. Sjalin C.
56. Forsberg F.
83. Kuhlman K.
18. Ottosson A.
46. Kellman J.
91. Tellstrom O.
8. Sandin L.
Line 3
7. Niemela T.
95. Friedman M.
57. Barklund A.
7. Claesson L.
88. DiDomenico C.
72. Zaar D.
77. Hemmyr P.
37. Sundsvik A.
93. Robins T.
18. Everberg D.
Line 4
11. Reunanen T.
4. Clurman N.
71. Possler G.
32. Solberg I.
39. Mustonen J.
41. Zether S.
28. Alba E.
21. Jellvik O.
Substitutes
37. Killinen L.
17. Bartholdsson N.
30. Lehtinen L. (G)
70. Clang C. (G)
35. Salasca F. (G)
Coaches
. Bogren M.
. Tangnes D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
08:51, (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
04:10, 0 - 1, Johansson F. (G), de Haan C. (A), Kellman J. (A2)
04:37, de Haan C. (2 min),
05:26, 1 - 1, Kovacs R. (G), Ottosson A. (A), Forsberg F. (A2)
16:39, 1 - 2, Zether S. (G), Jellvik O. (A), Friedman M. (A2)
17:08, Mustonen J. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
12:35, Didier J. (2 min),
18:23, de Haan C. (2 min),
18:23, Forsberg F. (2 min),
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - SHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 6th in the Promotion - SHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Björklöven won 3.
Björklöven is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Rögle have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Björklöven could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rögle holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Björklöven in today's match, at odds of 3.16.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Björklöven has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:26 (averaging 2.2:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Björklöven against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:9 goals (averaging 2.5:2.3 per game).