Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Bolzano		Bratislava Capitals

	1	X	2
	1.64	4.65	3.8
	1.67	4.6	3.8	Watch
	1.65	4.4	3.7
	1.68	4.5	3.95
	1.66	4.51	3.91
	1.62	4.6	3.8
	1.68	4.6	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)	4.55 ↓ (4.72)	3.85 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolzano
55.7%

Draw
20.3%

Bratislava Capitals
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

19.8%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

13.9%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Bratislava Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolzano than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolzano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bratislava Capitals than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bratislava Capitals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bolzano - Bratislava Capitals Predictions

Users Predictions: Bolzano will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Bolzano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bratislava is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bratislava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bolzano is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bolzano won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 38-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolzano won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bolzano-Bozen
Austrian Ice Hockey League
22.10.21	EC KAC - Bolzano	4:2 ✺
16.10.21	Bolzano - Fehérvár AV 19	4:3 ✺
15.10.21	Bolzano - Dornbirn	2:5 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
12.10.21	Bolzano - Red Bull Salzburg	3:4 OT ✺
Austrian Ice Hockey League
10.10.21	Villacher - Bolzano	6:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- Bratislava Capitals
Austrian Ice Hockey League
22.10.21	Bratislava Capitals - Graz 99ers	1:5 ✺
19.10.21	Bratislava Capitals - Red Bull Salzburg	0:1 OT ✺
17.10.21	Vienna Capitals - Bratislava Capitals	5:1 ✺
15.10.21	EC KAC - Bratislava Capitals	2:3 penalties ✺
10.10.21	Bratislava Capitals - Black Wings Linz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
21.03.21	Bolzano - Bratislava Capitals	3:2
19.03.21	Bratislava Capitals - Bolzano	3:4
16.03.21	Bolzano - Bratislava Capitals	2:1 OT
14.03.21	Bratislava Capitals - Bolzano	2:7
12.03.21	Bolzano - Bratislava Capitals	1:2
24.01.21	Bolzano - Bratislava Capitals	6:0
19.12.20	Bratislava Capitals - Bolzano	4:5 penalties

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