Match Info

Date: 6 January 2022, Thursday


	Bolzano		Dornbirn

	1	X	2
	1.64	4.75	3.8
	1.6	5	4	Watch
	1.62	4.25	4.1
	1.68	4.6	4.2
	1.58	5.07	4.08
	1.62	4.75	3.8
	1.59	4.8	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.44)	4.75 ↓ (5.19)	4.05 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolzano
57.5%

Draw
19.6%

Dornbirn
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

17.6%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

12.5%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bolzano's form might have worsened.

Dornbirn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolzano than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolzano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dornbirn than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	6.7%	26.7%

Bolzano - Dornbirn Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bolzano will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Dornbirn will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolzano: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Bolzano is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bolzano to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 41 head-to-head matches Bolzano won 19 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 22 matches and goals 115-120.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolzano won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 60-50.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bolzano-Bozen
Austrian Ice Hockey League
04.01.22	TWK Innsbruck - Bolzano	1:4 ✺
30.12.21	Villacher - Bolzano	4:3 OT ✺
28.12.21	Bolzano - TWK Innsbruck	3:0 ✺
26.12.21	Dornbirn - Bolzano	2:4 ✺
21.12.21	Bolzano - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL
- Dornbirn EC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
04.01.22	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Dornbirn	5:2 ✺
30.12.21	Red Bull Salzburg - Dornbirn	3:1 ✺
28.12.21	Dornbirn - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	5:0 ✺
26.12.21	Dornbirn - Bolzano	2:4 ✺
21.12.21	TWK Innsbruck - Dornbirn	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
26.12.21	Dornbirn - Bolzano	2:4
07.12.21	Dornbirn - Bolzano	3:5
15.10.21	Bolzano - Dornbirn	2:5
03.01.21	Bolzano - Dornbirn	5:3
30.12.20	Dornbirn - Bolzano	2:1
01.12.20	Bolzano - Dornbirn	4:1
04.10.20	Dornbirn - Bolzano	2:3

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