Match Info

Date: 28 December 2021, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Dornbirn		Pustertal-Val Pusteria

	1	X	2
	2.8	4.35	2
	2.85	4.33	2
	2.95	4.1	1.95
	3	4.4	2.06
	2.72	4.41	2.13
	2.8	4.2	2
	2.85	4.25	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (2.92)	4.29 ↓ (4.34)	2.03 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dornbirn
32.6%

Draw
21.7%

Pustertal-Val Pusteria
45.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

21.6%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

17%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dornbirn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Pustertal-Val Pusteria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dornbirn than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dornbirn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pustertal-Val Pusteria than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pustertal-Val Pusteria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Dornbirn - Pustertal Val Pusteria Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dornbirn will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Val Pusteria will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Val Pusteria: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 11).

Recent matches Dornbirn is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pustertal-Val Pusteria is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pustertal-Val Pusteria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pustertal-Val Pusteria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dornbirn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Dornbirn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dornbirn EC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
26.12.21	Dornbirn - Bolzano	2:4 ✺
21.12.21	TWK Innsbruck - Dornbirn	1:5 ✺
19.12.21	Black Wings Linz - Dornbirn	4:5 OT ✺
17.12.21	Dornbirn - Orli Znojmo	1:6 ✺
16.12.21	Dornbirn - Graz 99ers	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWLL
- HC Pustertal-Val Pusteria
Austrian Ice Hockey League
26.12.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:2 ✺
21.12.21	Bolzano - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	2:3 ✺
18.12.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Orli Znojmo	2:4 ✺
17.12.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Fehérvár AV 19	7:3 ✺
12.12.21	EC KAC - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
10.12.21	Dornbirn - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	0:4
03.10.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Dornbirn	2:1 penalties

Dornbirn - Pustertal-Val Pusteria