Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Round 7

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Patinoire de Mériadeck (Bordeaux)


	Bordeaux		Chamonix

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	5.00
	1.45	4.80	4.70
	1.52	4.45	4.46
	1.49	4.94	5	Watch
	1.50	4.40	4.40
	1.46	4.80	4.89
	1.46	4.80	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.43)	4.71 ↓ (5.1)	4.78 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
61.6%

Draw
19.3%

Chamonix
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

18.2%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

18.3%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Chamonix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chamonix than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Bordeaux - Chamonix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Papillon Q. (G)	31. Aubrun T. (G)
58. Beaudry J.	16. Berard B.
8. Boscq J.	66. Broutin J.
72. Bruche B.	46. Durand C. (C)
11. Carry E.	28. Eyre J.
20. Dusseau K. (C)	27. Fortin J.
96. Farnier L.	10. Heikkinen J.
18. Fenenko N.	7. Jeskanen V.
86. Fournier S.	8. Johansson A. T.
73. Giroux T. (A)	5. Koponen S. (A)
7. Guidoux T.	2. Laprun C.
52. Lamarche M. (A)	96. Lopachuk S.
21. Leborgne K.	61. Luciani A.
9. Mongo Y.	56. Lunsjo A.
91. Morin P.	17. Rech A.
76. Rambelo A.	4. Trollet C.
14. Tomasino Q.	19. Tugnutt M.
	80. Vainikainen V.
	41. Ville G. (A)
Substitutes
38. Richard G. (G)	29. Boudet B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
02:45, 1 - 0, Fournier S. (G), Lamarche M. (A), Beaudry J. (A2)
15:53, 2 - 0, Carry E. (G), Guidoux T. (A), Mongo Y. (A2)
17:44, 3 - 0, Farnier L. (G), Giroux T. (A), Fenenko N. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
01:22, 4 - 0, Bruche B. (G), Carry E. (A), Beaudry J. (A2)
06:04, 5 - 0, Leborgne K. (G),
15:09, 6 - 0, Bruche B. (G), Mongo Y. (A), Carry E. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
09:23, 7 - 0, Beaudry J. (G), Mongo Y. (A), Tomasino Q. (A2)
10:08, 7 - 1, Lunsjo A. (G), Vainikainen V. (A), Heikkinen J. (A2)
17:50, 8 - 1, Carry E. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux won 3.

Bordeaux has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Chamonix is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this matchup, Bordeaux is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bordeaux has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:41 (averaging 3.2:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bordeaux against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 35:14 goals (averaging 3.9:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Chamonix Mont-Blanc	9	5	0	2	2	32:31	17
7	Bordeaux	8	3	1	0	4	21:19	11

Last Results with these Odds

Bordeaux - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.92%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bordeaux GHC
French Ligue Magnus
29.09.26	Nice - Bordeaux	5:1 ✺
27.09.26	Bordeaux - Rouen	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Bordeaux - Spartiates de Marseille	2:5 ✺
22.09.26	Briançon - Bordeaux	1:2 penalties ✺
18.09.26	Bordeaux - Cergy-Pontoise	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWW
- Chamonix HC
French Ligue Magnus
29.09.26	Chamonix - Spartiates de Marseille	2:3 AET ✺
27.09.26	Briançon - Chamonix	0:3 ✺
25.09.26	Chamonix - Cergy-Pontoise	6:4 ✺
22.09.26	Anglet - Chamonix	2:4 ✺
18.09.26	Chamonix - Amiens	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
19.02.26	Chamonix - Bordeaux	5:1
02.01.26	Bordeaux - Chamonix	3:0
23.11.25	Bordeaux - Chamonix	3:2
23.09.25	Chamonix - Bordeaux	4:1
21.01.25	Chamonix - Bordeaux	0:1
10.12.24	Bordeaux - Chamonix	4:1
22.11.24	Chamonix - Bordeaux	1:4

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