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Current Win Probability
Boston Bruins 37.2%
Draw 23%
Ottawa Senators 39.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.2%
23.2%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
23.5%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Boston Bruins have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Bruins than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
55.6%
11.1%
Boston Bruins - Ottawa Senators Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Boston will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Ottawa will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Swayman J. (G)
35. Ullmark L. (G)
17. Borgen W.
10. Spence J.
27. Lindholm H. (A)
72. Chabot T. (C)
88. Pastrnak D. (C)
19. Batherson D.
28. Lindholm E.
18. Stutzle T. (A)
10. Peterka J.
37. Foegele W.
Line 2
75. Clifton C.
26. Yakemchuk C.
91. Zadorov N.
43. Kleven T.
39. Geekie M.
20. Zetterlund F.
18. Zacha P.
24. Cozens D.
11. Mittelstadt C.
27. Eklund W.
Line 3
6. Lohrei M.
33. Matinpalo N.
42. Brunet F.
5. Crotty C.
92. Khusnutdinov M.
28. Giroux C. (A)
93. Minten F.
12. Pinto S.
44. Hagens J.
22. Amadio M.
Line 4
47. Kastelic M.
42. Hodgson H.
51. Poitras M.
34. Halliday S.
84. Jeannot T. (A)
21. Cousins N.
Substitutes
30. DiPietro M. (G)
30. Ersson S. (G)
Coaches
. Sturm M.
. Green T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
07:19, Foegele W. (2 min),
07:39, 0 - 1, Stutzle T. (G), Amadio M. (A),
09:22, 0 - 2, Stutzle T. (G),
13:33, Hodgson H. (2 min),
15:15, Minten F. (2 min),
15:22, Poitras M. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:06, 0 - 3, Batherson D. (G), Stutzle T. (A),
05:19, 0 - 4, Amadio M. (G), Pinto S. (A), Cousins N. (A2)
07:58, Matinpalo N. (2 min),
08:02, Lindholm E. (2 min),
15:36, Chabot T. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:01, Ullmark L. ↓, Ersson S. ↑,
03:30, 1 - 4, Hagens J. (G),
19:56, Zadorov N. (2 min),
19:56, Cousins N. (10 min),
19:56, Zadorov N. (10 min),
19:56, Hagens J. (10 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Boston may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Boston has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Boston: McAvoy C.
(Suspended)
Poitras M.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Confirmed absences for Ottawa: Burakovsky A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Greig R.
(Suspended)
MacDermid K.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Zub A.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Ottawa: Sanderson J.
(Lower-Body Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Boston has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 56:66 (averaging 2.8:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Boston against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 26:23 goals (averaging 2.6:2.3 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Ottawa Senators: 2.57% Boston Bruins: 0.79%
Last Results with these Odds
Boston Bruins - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 37.22%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.55%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.
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Swayman J. (G) 
Ullmark L. (G) 
Spence J. 
Pastrnak D. (C) 
Stutzle T. (A) 
Zadorov N. 
Matinpalo N. 
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