Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Bowling Green Falcons		Minnesota State Mavericks

	1	X	2
	2.23	4.15	2.4
	2.27	3.95	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.2)	4.05 ↓ (4.3)	2.41 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bowling Green Falcons
40.1%

Draw
22.3%

Minnesota State Mavericks
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

20.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

21.5%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bowling Green Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Minnesota State Mavericks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bowling Green Falcons than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota State Mavericks than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)

Preview

Bowling Green has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Minnesota State is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Minnesota State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bowling Green won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 2.8:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bowling Green won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 2.8:4.5).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Minnesota State Mavericks: 0.62% Bowling Green Falcons: 0.54%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bowling Green Falcons hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks	4:5 ✺
14.02.26	Augustana Vikings - Bowling Green Falcons	4:2 ✺
13.02.26	Augustana Vikings - Bowling Green Falcons	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Bowling Green Falcons - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	3:1 ✺
06.02.26	Bowling Green Falcons - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWL
- Minnesota State Mavericks hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks	4:5 ✺
14.02.26	Minnesota State Mavericks - Bemidji State Beavers	0:1 OT ✺
13.02.26	Minnesota State Mavericks - Bemidji State Beavers	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Ferris State Bulldogs - Minnesota State Mavericks	3:4 ✺
30.01.26	Ferris State Bulldogs - Minnesota State Mavericks	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks	4:5
20.01.24	Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks	1:4
19.01.24	Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks	4:3
10.12.22	Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks	2:6

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