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Current Win Probability
Brandon Wheat Kings 45.2%
Draw 21.4%
Calgary Hitmen 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
21.1%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
22.3%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brandon Wheat Kings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Calgary Hitmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Wheat Kings than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Hitmen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Ruzicka F. (G)
31. Tu E. (G)
6. Allard C.
17. Amrhein L.
17. Baumuller J.
7. Aura H. (A)
8. Bhathal P.
22. Dach K.
12. Boehm N.
4. Hamilton C.
91. Boyce R.
25. Hildebrandt S.
14. Burzynski G. (A)
6. Hurtig A. (C)
21. Egan J.
21. Jundt K.
13. Gavin J.
9. Lodewyk H. (A)
10. Hadland C. (C)
16. MacBeath B.
9. Jacobson J.
27. Maze J.
62. Johnson N.
14. Meunier T.
27. Lavoie M.
8. Molgachyov A.
26. Mistelbacher L. (A)
18. Moore E.
84. Pantelas G.
12. Pisarczyk W.
5. Ronald D.
33. Seidl J.
11. Surkan C.
39. Trevors L.
7. Turko B.
15. Vanek B.
22. Wilson B.
34. Wilkie C.
Substitutes
33. Kraus J. (G)
30. Hesse A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
02:27, 1 - 0, Burzynski G. (G), Gavin J. (A),
13:14, 2 - 0, Surkan C. (G), Baumuller J. (A), Burzynski G. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:06, 2 - 1, Dach K. (G), Moore E. (A), Wilkie C. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
09:13, 2 - 2, Lodewyk H. (G), Dach K. (A), Hamilton C. (A2)
11:48, 2 - 3, Moore E. (G), Dach K. (A), Wilkie C. (A2)
18:44, 2 - 4, Maze J. (G),
Preview
Calgary Hitmen leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brandon won 1.
Brandon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Calgary is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brandon won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 51:74. (average 2.6:3.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Brandon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:38. (average 2.5:3.8).