Match Info

FRANCE: D1 - Play Out - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Brest Albatros		HCMP

	1	X	2
	2.13	4.55	2.4
				Watch
	1.95	4.5	2.6
	2.12	4.05	2.69
	2.13	4.55	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.11)	4.41 ↑ (4.1)	2.52 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest Albatros
43.5%

Draw
20.5%

HCMP
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.5%

22.4%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

21.9%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Brest Albatros have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

HCMP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest Albatros than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HCMP than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Brest Albatros - HCMP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)

Preview

2nd leg. HCMP leads series 1-0.

Brest is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches HCMP is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brest could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brest won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Including matches at home between the teams Brest won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brest Albatros
French D1 Ice Hockey
15.03.25	Brest Albatros - HCMP	1:4 ✺
08.03.25	Neuilly-sur-Marne - Brest Albatros	5:3 ✺
01.03.25	Brest Albatros - Dogs de Cholet	6:2 ✺
26.02.25	Morzine-Avoriaz - Brest Albatros	5:0 ✺
22.02.25	Brest Albatros - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLL
- Hockey Courchevel Méribel Pralognan
French D1 Ice Hockey
15.03.25	Brest Albatros - HCMP	1:4 ✺
08.03.25	HCMP - Corsaires de Dunkerque	3:7 ✺
04.03.25	HCMP - Morzine-Avoriaz	4:3 OT ✺
01.03.25	Épinal - HCMP	3:1 ✺
26.02.25	HCMP - Neuilly-sur-Marne	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French D1 Ice Hockey
15.03.25	Brest Albatros - HCMP	1:4

Brest Albatros - HCMP