Match Info

NHL

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: KeyBank Center (Buffalo, NY) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:00	Disney+
Australia	04:00	ESPN 2
Brazil	14:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	20:00	Max Sport 1
Chile	14:00	Disney+
Colombia	12:00	Disney+
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	19:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
France	19:00	beIN Sports 3
Germany	19:00	NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Mexico	11:00	Disney+
Netherlands	19:00	ESPN 2
Norway	19:00	Viaplay
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Slovakia	19:00	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	19:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	19:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	18:00	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	ESPN USA, ESPN+, MSG Sportsnet, MSG, NESN
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+
International	17:00	NHL.tv


	Buffalo Sabres		Florida Panthers

	1	X	2
	2.4	4	2.45	Watch
	2.35	3.90	2.50
	2.42	3.95	2.6
	2.36	4.22	2.57
	2.38	4.21	2.53	Watch
	2.35	4.2	2.55
	2.42	4.23	2.52
	2.36	4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.7)	4.09 ↓ (4.28)	2.53 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buffalo Sabres
39.6%

Draw
23.1%

Florida Panthers
37.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

22.7%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

22.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Florida Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Panthers than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Buffalo Sabres - Florida Panthers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Florida will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Florida: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Florida (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
92. Ellis C. (G)	25. Markstrom J. (G)
26. Dahlin R. (C)	5. Ekblad A. (A)
23. Samuelsson M. (A)	42. Forsling G.
91. Doan J.	19. Tkachuk M. (A)
72. Thompson T. (A)	9. Bennett S.
19. Krebs P.	8. Tkachuk B.
Line 2
25. Power O.	3. Jones S.
8. Zellweger O.	77. Mikkola N.
22. Quinn J.	18. Lafferty S.
86. Ostlund N.	13. Reinhart S. (A)
6. Benson Z.	23. Verhaeghe C.
Line 3
46. Crevier L.	7. Kulikov D.
73. Metsa Z.	6. Gudas R.
94. Helenius K.	95. Vilmanis S.
71. McLeod R.	15. Lundell A.
9. Norris J.	27. Luostarinen E.
Line 4
48. Kozak T.	21. Hathaway G.
10. Carrick S.	20. Eller L.
29. Malenstyn B.	14. Imama B.
Substitutes
1. Luukkonen U. (G)	40. Schmid A. (G)
Coaches
. Ruff L.	. Maurice P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
05:58, 1 - 0, Doan J. (G), Krebs P. (A),
11:00, 1 - 1, Lundell A. (G), Ekblad A. (A), Vilmanis S. (A2)
15:15, Kulikov D. (2 min),
15:55, 2 - 1, Dahlin R. (G), Quinn J. (A), Thompson T. (A2)
17:01, Gudas R. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:01, Markstrom J. ↓, Schmid A. ↑,
03:26, Ekblad A. (2 min),
05:55, Zellweger O. (2 min),
06:26, 2 - 2, Reinhart S. (G), Jones S. (A), Tkachuk M. (A2)
06:26, Ellis C. ↓, Luukkonen U. ↑,
11:25, 3 - 2, McLeod R. (G), Zellweger O. (A), Power O. (A2)
12:48, Malenstyn B. (2 min),
13:41, 3 - 3, Reinhart S. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Jones S. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:15, Ekblad A. (2 min),
07:15, 4 - 3, Ostlund N. (G), Benson Z. (A), Quinn J. (A2)
13:20, 5 - 3, Thompson T. (G), Power O. (A), Krebs P. (A2)
13:39, Norris J. (2 min),
16:26, Luostarinen E. (2 min),
18:08, Norris J. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Florida could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Buffalo has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Recently, Florida has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Buffalo: Lyon A. (Upper-Body Injury) Timmins C. (Lower-Body Injury) Zucker J. (Hernia).

Confirmed absences for Florida: Barkov A. (Knee Injury) Gadjovich J. (Upper-Body Injury) Marchand B. (Leg Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Florida: Luostarinen E. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Buffalo has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:68 (averaging 2.5:3.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Buffalo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 24:36 goals (averaging 2.4:3.6 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Florida Panthers: 8.04% Buffalo Sabres: 2.28%

Last Results with these Odds

Florida Panthers - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 41.44%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
10.10.26	Buffalo Sabres - Utah Mammoth	1:4 ✺
08.10.26	Buffalo Sabres - Dallas Stars	0:4 ✺
06.10.26	Buffalo Sabres - Minnesota Wild	3:2 OT ✺
03.10.26	Buffalo Sabres - Chicago Blackhawks	4:3 ✺
01.10.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Buffalo Sabres	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWL
- Florida Panthers
NHL
10.10.26	Florida Panthers - Minnesota Wild	1:4 ✺
06.10.26	Los Angeles Kings - Florida Panthers	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Anaheim Ducks - Florida Panthers	3:2 AET ✺
01.10.26	San Jose Sharks - Florida Panthers	4:3 AET ✺
29.09.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Florida Panthers	0:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
27.02.26	Florida Panthers - Buffalo Sabres	2:3
02.02.26	Florida Panthers - Buffalo Sabres	3:5
12.01.26	Buffalo Sabres - Florida Panthers	3:4
18.10.25	Buffalo Sabres - Florida Panthers	3:0
12.04.25	Florida Panthers - Buffalo Sabres	3:2 penalties
08.03.25	Florida Panthers - Buffalo Sabres	4:0
28.10.24	Buffalo Sabres - Florida Panthers	2:5

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