Match Info

NHL

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Washington Capitals		Minnesota Wild

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.7	Watch
	2.23	4.24	2.72
	2.27	4.23	2.67
	2.40	4.04	2.54	Watch
	2.28	4.31	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.4)	4.16 ↑ (4.04)	2.68 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Washington Capitals
41.6%

Draw
22.9%

Minnesota Wild
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

23.4%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

22.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Minnesota Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	42.9%	50%

Washington Capitals - Minnesota Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Minnesota will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Minnesota (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1, OT - Washington (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 3 - 30%). Minnesota (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)	32. Gustavsson F. (G)
74. Carlson J. (A)	7. Faber B.
42. Fehervary M.	25. Brodin J.
72. Beauvillier A.	12. Boldy M.
17. Strome D.	23. Rossi M.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)	97. Kaprizov K. (A)
Line 2
3. Roy M.	46. Spurgeon J. (C)
38. Sandin R.	5. Middleton J.
43. Wilson T. (A)	91. Tarasenko V.
24. McMichael C.	14. Eriksson J.
21. Protas A.	90. Johansson M.
Line 3
6. Chychrun J.	24. Bogosian Z.
47. Chisholm D.	8. Buium Z.
9. Leonard R.	13. Trenin Y.
29. Lapierre H.	38. Hartman R.
15. Milano S.	17. Foligno M. (A)
Line 4
34. Sourdif J.	18. Hinostroza V.
26. Dowd N.	22. Yurov D.
22. Duhaime B.	28. Ohgren L.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)	30. Wallstedt J. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.	. Hynes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:51, McMichael C. (2 min),
17:52, 1 - 0, Strome D. (G), Ovechkin A. (A), Fehervary M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:53, Middleton J. (2 min),
10:05, Foligno M. (2 min),
16:47, 1 - 1, Johansson M. (G), Boldy M. (A), Middleton J. (A2)
17:18, 2 - 1, Protas A. (G), Wilson T. (A), Sandin R. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
01:19, 3 - 1, Ovechkin A. (G), Strome D. (A),
05:23, Buium Z. (2 min),
08:50, McMichael C. (2 min),
11:32, 4 - 1, Strome D. (G), Beauvillier A. (A), Fehervary M. (A2)
17:45, Boldy M. (2 min),
18:03, 5 - 1, Wilson T. (G), Carlson J. (A), Strome D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 1.

Washington is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Minnesota has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Minnesota: Sturm N. (Back Injury) Zuccarello M. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 60:62. (average 3:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 2.3:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Minnesota Wild - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 37.22%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Capitals
NHL
14.10.25	Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:2 OT ✺
12.10.25	New York Rangers - Washington Capitals	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	New York Islanders - Washington Capitals	2:4 ✺
08.10.25	Washington Capitals - Boston Bruins	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Washington Capitals - Columbus Blue Jackets	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWLW
- Minnesota Wild
NHL
14.10.25	Dallas Stars - Minnesota Wild	5:2 ✺
13.10.25	Minnesota Wild - Los Angeles Kings	4:3 penalties ✺
11.10.25	Minnesota Wild - Columbus Blue Jackets	4:7 ✺
09.10.25	St. Louis Blues - Minnesota Wild	0:5 ✺
03.10.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Minnesota Wild	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
27.03.25	Minnesota Wild - Washington Capitals	4:2
02.01.25	Washington Capitals - Minnesota Wild	3:4 penalties
23.01.24	Minnesota Wild - Washington Capitals	5:3
27.10.23	Washington Capitals - Minnesota Wild	3:2 penalties
19.03.23	Minnesota Wild - Washington Capitals	5:3
17.01.23	Washington Capitals - Minnesota Wild	2:4
03.04.22	Washington Capitals - Minnesota Wild	1:5

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