Match Info

NMHL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Buran Moscow		Metallurg Cherepovets

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.95	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.34)	3.95 ↑ (3.94)	2.26 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buran Moscow
37.3%

Draw
22.8%

Metallurg Cherepovets
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.6%

22.9%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

24.2%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buran Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Metallurg Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buran Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Buran Moscow - Metallurg Cherepovets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:33, 1 - 0, Pirogov M. (G), Martynov K. (A), Leonov A. (A2)
11:34, 1 - 1, Perminov T. (G), Volzhenkov L. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
08:24, 1 - 2, Titov N. (G), Speshinsky S. (A), Ulyanov V. (A2)
09:57, 2 - 2, Shitov S. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:05, 2 - 3, Sadovin O. (G), Perminov T. (A),

Preview

Buran Moscow is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

M Cherepovets is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In recent matches, Buran Moscow has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

M Cherepovets is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buran Moscow won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Buran Moscow won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 3:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Cherepovets - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.55%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buran Moscow
RHL
11.04.26	Buran Moscow - Metallurg Cherepovets	2:3 OT ✺
01.04.26	Fakel Salekhard - Buran Moscow	5:2 ✺
28.03.26	Buran Moscow - Fakel Salekhard	3:2 OT ✺
17.03.26	Tverichi - Buran Moscow	1:7 ✺
16.03.26	Tverichi - Buran Moscow	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWWW
- Metallurg Cherepovets
RHL
11.04.26	Buran Moscow - Metallurg Cherepovets	2:3 OT ✺
01.04.26	Metallurg Cherepovets - Dinamo-576	5:2 ✺
28.03.26	Dinamo-576 - Metallurg Cherepovets	2:6 ✺
22.03.26	Metallurg Cherepovets - Granit Chekhov	6:2 ✺
21.03.26	Metallurg Cherepovets - Granit Chekhov	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
11.04.26	Buran Moscow - Metallurg Cherepovets	2:3 OT
21.02.26	Metallurg Cherepovets - Buran Moscow	2:4
20.02.26	Metallurg Cherepovets - Buran Moscow	0:7
18.11.25	Buran Moscow - Metallurg Cherepovets	2:3 OT
17.11.25	Buran Moscow - Metallurg Cherepovets	5:2

Buran Moscow - Metallurg Cherepovets