Match Info

Extraliga - Round 44

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Home Credit Arena (Liberec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2


	Bílí Tygři Liberec		Kometa Brno

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.5	3.6	Watch
	2.05	4.1	2.9
	1.83	4.3	3.5	Watch
	1.72	4.1	3.7
	1.91	4.12	3.37	Watch
	1.75	4.2	3.4
	1.79	4.25	3.71	Watch
	1.8	4.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.07)	4.25 ↑ (4.17)	3.47 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bílí Tygři Liberec
51.1%

Draw
22%

Kometa Brno
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

22.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

23.8%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bílí Tygři Liberec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bílí Tygři Liberec's performance.

Kometa Brno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kometa Brno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bílí Tygři Liberec than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bílí Tygři Liberec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kometa Brno than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kometa Brno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Bílí Tygři Liberec - Kometa Brno Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Liberec will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Kometa Brno will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liberec (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Kvaca P. (G)	30. Stezka A. (G)
79. Galvas T.	28. Zabransky L.
44. Simek R. (C)	23. Scotka J. (A)
25. Lenc R. (A)	20. Zohorna H. (A)
71. Najman A.	80. Zohorna T.
43. Sandberg F.	22. Pospisil K.
Line 2
8. Zile K.	93. Holland R.
29. Ivan M. (A)	82. Kral F.
83. Petrovsky S.	9. Flek J. (C)
26. Weatherby J.	18. Zboril A.
77. Fasko-Rudas M.	83. Stransky S.
Line 3
2. Ahac L.	7. Bartejs T.
90. Zeman D.	24. Gulasi M.
13. Perez J.	86. Chludil D.
14. Musil A.	72. Kollar A.
20. Pytlik J.	6. Cingel L.
Line 4
6. Aubrecht D.	8. Daloga M.
53. Vlach J.	63. Ferda R.
81. Jansa F.	10. Ekrt J.
69. Zachar M.	15. Kos J.
Substitutes
56. Lukes S. (G)	37. Kroselj G. (G)
	16. Moravec D.
Coaches
. Kudrna J.	. Horacek J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
04:33, 1 - 0, Petrovsky S. (G), Fasko-Rudas M. (A), Weatherby J. (A2)
15:28, 2 - 0, Vlach J. (G), Pytlik J. (A), Musil A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
03:56, Zeman D. (2 min),
03:56, Pospisil K. (2 min),
06:22, Gulasi M. (2 min),
17:32, Vlach J. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
15:25, 3 - 0, Jansa F. (G), Pytlik J. (A), Vlach J. (A2)
17:41, 4 - 0, Musil A. (G), Pytlik J. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liberec won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Kometa Brno may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Liberec has had a series of home games.

Liberec might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Liberec: Hamalcik P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Kometa Brno: Davidson B. (Injury) Ilomaki A. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liberec won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 56:63. (average 2.8:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Liberec won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:32. (average 3.4:3.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Liberec	9	4	0	2	3	26:25	14
11	Kometa Brno	8	2	2	0	4	24:26	10

Last Results with these Odds

Kometa Brno - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.45%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bílí Tygři Liberec
Czech Extraliga
18.01.26	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Verva Litvínov	4:1 ✺
16.01.26	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Oceláři Třinec	5:3 ✺
13.01.26	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Motor České Budějovice	6:3 ✺
11.01.26	Pardubice - Bílí Tygři Liberec	2:1 penalties ✺
09.01.26	Bílí Tygři Liberec - HC Plzeň 1929	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW
- Kometa Brno
Czech Extraliga
21.01.26	Pardubice - Kometa Brno	7:1 ✺
18.01.26	Vítkovice Steel - Kometa Brno	2:3 OT ✺
15.01.26	Sparta Prague - Kometa Brno	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Kometa Brno - Mladá Boleslav	3:2 OT ✺
09.01.26	Kometa Brno - Verva Litvínov	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
19.12.25	Kometa Brno - Bílí Tygři Liberec	3:1
26.10.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Kometa Brno	4:3
19.09.25	Kometa Brno - Bílí Tygři Liberec	4:5
26.01.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Kometa Brno	5:3
20.12.24	Kometa Brno - Bílí Tygři Liberec	4:2
25.10.24	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Kometa Brno	3:4
18.09.24	Kometa Brno - Bílí Tygři Liberec	1:2

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