The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Calgary Hitmen 61.9%
Draw 17.9%
Seattle Thunderbirds 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
20.2%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
21.5%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calgary Hitmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calgary Hitmen's performance.
Seattle Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Hitmen than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calgary Hitmen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seattle Thunderbirds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Tu E. (G)
35. Sklenicka M. (G)
17. Amrhein L.
11. Bibeau E.
7. Aura H.
29. Creran E.
22. Dach K. (A)
16. England B.
4. Hamilton C.
47. Gard M.
25. Hildebrandt S.
5. Gramer J.
6. Hurtig A. (C)
19. Hilderman M.
21. Jundt K.
2. Hocher B.
16. MacBeath B.
24. Holberton B.
27. Maze J.
3. Huyck B. (A)
14. Meunier T.
17. Kosick N.
8. Molgachyov A.
22. Lovsin S. (A)
18. Moore E. (A)
89. Martorana A.
19. Ng R.
14. Mayes S.
12. Pisarczyk W.
26. Miller L.
33. Seidl J.
88. Pekar M.
39. Trevors L.
6. Popil V.
15. Vanek B.
25. Riley T.
34. Wilkie C.
27. Schmidt C. (A)
74. Tash G.
Substitutes
30. Hesse A. (G)
31. Malinoski G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
04:57, 1 - 0, Dach K. (G), Amrhein L. (A), Hamilton C. (A2)
07:08, 2 - 0, Molgachyov A. (G), MacBeath B. (A), Tu E. (A2)
08:51, 3 - 0, Maze J. (G), Dach K. (A), Amrhein L. (A2)
18:48, 4 - 0, Maze J. (G), Amrhein L. (A), Aura H. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
00:48, 4 - 1, Pekar M. (G), Gard M. (A), Schmidt C. (A2)
02:27, 4 - 2, Lovsin S. (G), Bibeau E. (A),
04:24, 4 - 3, Schmidt C. (G), Riley T. (A), Pekar M. (A2)
15:00, 5 - 3, Moore E. (G), Molgachyov A. (A), Pisarczyk W. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 3.
Calgary has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Seattle is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Calgary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, Calgary is the team to beat.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:26. (average 3.7:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 4:2.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Calgary Hitmen - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.65%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Seattle Thunderbirds - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 25.11%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Tu E. (G) 
Sklenicka M. (G) 
Amrhein L. 
Hurtig A. (C) 
Molgachyov A. 
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