Match Info

WHL

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Save-On-Foods Memorial Centre (Victoria, BC)


	Victoria Royals		Calgary Hitmen

	1	X	2
	2.97	4.24	2.01	Watch
	2.9	4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.06)	4.12 ↓ (4.17)	1.96 (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Royals
31.1%

Draw
22.2%

Calgary Hitmen
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

22.3%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

21.7%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Royals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Calgary Hitmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Royals than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Hitmen than the current prediction. (+2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pilon J. (G)	30. Hesse A. (G)
23. Brown A.	17. Amrhein L.
16. Danyleyko W.	7. Aura H. (A)
4. Fryer S.	22. Dach K.
9. Matthews C.	25. Hildebrandt S.
71. McKamey E.	6. Hurtig A. (C)
19. Moore H. (A)	21. Jundt K.
22. Nelson H. (A)	9. Lodewyk H. (A)
25. Newman R. (C)	16. MacBeath B.
11. Perreault L.	27. Maze J.
2. Peterson H.	14. Meunier T.
5. Runtso T.	2. Meyer K.
10. Schwartz J.	18. Moore E.
17. Stewart N.	19. Ng R.
7. Vauhkonen O.	12. Pisarczyk W.
28. Waltze C.	38. Schollar H.
12. Wilson C. (A)	39. Trevors L.
93. Woodward R.	34. Wilkie C.
74. Young L.	5. Williams B.
Substitutes
50. Eskit E. (G)	31. Tu E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
08:54, 0 - 1, Lodewyk H. (G), Aura H. (A), MacBeath B. (A2)
13:44, 1 - 1, Woodward R. (G), Runtso T. (A), Newman R. (A2)
15:30, 1 - 2, Meunier T. (G), Aura H. (A),
19:34, 2 - 2, Nelson H. (G), Matthews C. (A), Brown A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:31, 3 - 2, Woodward R. (Penalty Shot),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
11:29, 3 - 3, Dach K. (G), MacBeath B. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:55, 4 - 3, Runtso T. (G), Stewart N. (A), Woodward R. (A2)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Calgary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Victoria has had a series of away games.

Calgary will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Victoria won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 71:53. (average 4.2:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Victoria won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:22. (average 4.9:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Calgary Hitmen - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.38%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Royals
WHL
30.12.25	Penticton Vees - Victoria Royals	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Prince George Cougars - Victoria Royals	3:2 OT ✺
27.12.25	Prince George Cougars - Victoria Royals	1:6 ✺
19.12.25	Vancouver Giants - Victoria Royals	1:5 ✺
18.12.25	Victoria Royals - Vancouver Giants	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWWL
- Calgary Hitmen
WHL
30.12.25	Vancouver Giants - Calgary Hitmen	1:4 ✺
27.12.25	Kamloops Blazers - Calgary Hitmen	9:5 ✺
19.12.25	Calgary Hitmen - Brandon Wheat Kings	2:3 OT ✺
17.12.25	Calgary Hitmen - Swift Current Broncos	9:2 ✺
13.12.25	Red Deer Rebels - Calgary Hitmen	0:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

WHL
22.11.24	Calgary Hitmen - Victoria Royals	5:4 OT
01.01.24	Victoria Royals - Calgary Hitmen	5:4 OT
03.11.22	Calgary Hitmen - Victoria Royals	5:2
19.02.20	Victoria Royals - Calgary Hitmen	2:3 penalties
01.01.19	Calgary Hitmen - Victoria Royals	6:3
28.01.18	Victoria Royals - Calgary Hitmen	7:3
27.01.18	Victoria Royals - Calgary Hitmen	4:1

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