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Current Win Probability
Calgary Wranglers 33.2%
Draw 22.8%
San Diego Gulls 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
22.6%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
22.4%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calgary Wranglers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
San Diego Gulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Wranglers than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
The ML Model estimate for San Diego Gulls aligns with the current prediction.
Calgary Wranglers - San Diego Gulls Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Sergeev A. (G)
34. Husso V. (G)
49. Basha A.
12. Bailey J.
22. Bell P.
15. Brouillard N.
19. Bishop C. (C)
22. Carpenter R. (C)
41. Cicek N. (A)
28. Caulfield J.
17. Ciona L.
29. Colangelo S.
29. Frk M. (A)
17. Gaucher N.
18. Gridin M.
5. Hinds T.
3. Grushnikov A.
24. Howe T.
15. Hunt D.
6. Luneau T.
6. Kerins R.
37. McKeown R. (A)
44. King C.
21. Myatovic N.
26. Miromanov D.
11. Mysak J.
21. Morin E.
16. Pastujov S.
45. Morton S.
18. Phillips M. (A)
2. Ottenbreit T.
19. Sidorov Y.
4. Poirier J.
7. Solberg S.
25. Silye D.
2. Warren N.
11. Stromgren W.
10. Washe T.
Substitutes
30. Say O. (G)
31. Clang C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
07:19, 1 - 0, Frk M. (G), Kerins R. (A), Poirier J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
15:21, 2 - 0, Gridin M. (G), Morton S. (A), Miromanov D. (A2)
17:20, 2 - 1, Colangelo S. (G), McKeown R. (A), Washe T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 82:63. (average 4.1:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:35. (average 4.1:3.2).
Last Results with these Odds
San Diego Gulls - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.