Match Info

WORLD: WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Tampere Deck Arena (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Sport
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Switzerland	SRF
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Canada		Latvia

	1	X	2
	1.34	5.25	7.75	Watch
	1.35	5.25	7.25
	1.33	5.8	7	Watch
	1.31	5.87	7.33
	1.3	6	6.5
	1.33	6	7.4	Watch
	1.34	6.55	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	5.82 ↑ (5.56)	7.28 ↑ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canada
70.9%

Draw
16.2%

Latvia
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

17%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

14.3%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Latvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canada than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latvia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	11.1%	16.7%

Canada - Latvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Canada will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Latvia will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Canada: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Canada won 4.

Recent matches Canada is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Latvia in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Canada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Canada is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Canada won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada hockey
IIHF World Championship
25.05.23	Canada - Finland	4:1 ✺
23.05.23	Canada - Czech Republic	3:1 ✺
22.05.23	Canada - Norway	2:3 penalties ✺
20.05.23	Canada - Switzerland	2:3 ✺
17.05.23	Canada - Kazakhstan	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLW
- Latvia hockey
IIHF World Championship
25.05.23	Sweden - Latvia	1:3 ✺
23.05.23	Switzerland - Latvia	3:4 OT ✺
20.05.23	Kazakhstan - Latvia	0:7 ✺
19.05.23	Latvia - Slovenia	3:2 ✺
17.05.23	Latvia - Norway	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship
12.05.23	Latvia - Canada	0:6
21.05.21	Canada - Latvia	0:2
14.05.18	Canada - Latvia	2:1 OT
Friendly International Ice Hockey
01.05.18	Latvia - Canada	1:6
04.02.18	Latvia - Canada	0:2
IIHF World Championship
01.05.15	Canada - Latvia	6:1
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
19.02.14	Canada - Latvia	2:1

Canada - Latvia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide