Match Info

WCH U20 - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul, MN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus
Finland	HBO Max
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Sweden	SVT Play


	Canada U20		Finland U20

	1	X	2
	1.58	5	4.25
	1.58	5.3	4.1	Watch
	1.5	4.5	4.2
	1.65	5.15	4.24
	1.58	5.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.37)	5.09 ↑ (4.96)	4.16 ↓ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canada U20
59.2%

Draw
18.3%

Finland U20
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

18.2%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

17.7%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canada U20's form might have worsened.

Finland U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Finland U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canada U20 than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canada U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finland U20 than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Finland U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Canada U20 - Finland U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Canada U20 will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Finland U20 will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5, OT - Finland U20 (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Finland U20 (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. George C. (G)	30. Rimpinen P. (G) Kiekko-Espoo
19. Parekh Z. Calgary Flames	7. Nieminen D. Pelicans Lahti
10. Reid C. Kitchener Rangers	33. Kiviharju A. (C) IFK Helsinki
22. Martone P. (C) Michigan State Spartans	22. Hemming E. Texas Stars
7. Misa M. San Jose Sharks	27. Miettinen J. (A) Everett Silvertips
11. Iginla T. Utah Mammoth	37. Vanhanen M. Everett Silvertips
Line 2
4. Brunicke H. (A) Pittsburgh Penguins	25. Boelius L. Assat Pori
5. Carels C. Prince George Cougars	13. Vaisanen V. Medicine Hat Tigers
23. O'Reilly S. London Knights	23. Tuuva L. Lukko Rauman
29. Hage M. Chicago Steel	28. Ruohonen H. (A) Dubuque Fighting Saints
9. McKenna G. Penn State Nittany Lions	12. Saarelainen J. Kalpa Kuopio
Line 3
14. Danford B. Brantford Bulldogs	34. Valila A. Lukko Rauman
2. Aitcheson K. Barrie Colts	2. Jokinen M. TPS Turku
21. Reschny C. North Dakota Fighting Hawks	20. Pikkarainen K. TPS Turku
26. Beaudoin C. (A) Barrie Colts	29. Kuhta J. Ottawa 67s
25. Desnoyers C. Moncton Wildcats	21. Westergard M. Frolunda
Line 4
20. Verhoeff K.	4. Nykyri N. IFK Helsinki
13. MacKenzie E. Edmonton Oil Kings	15. Koivu A. TPS Turku
17. Luchanko J. Philadelphia Flyers	38. Suvanto O. Tappara
8. Cootes B. Vancouver Canucks	10. Vesterinen R. Hameenlinna
24. Greentree L. Windsor Spitfires
Substitutes
31. Ravensberg J. (G) Prince George Cougars	18. Kalto O. Oshawa Generals
	1. Saarinen K. (G) Hameenlinna
Coaches
. Hunter D.	. Mikkola L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
01:10, 1 - 0, O'Reilly S. (G), Hage M. (A), McKenna G. (A2)
03:23, 1 - 1, Valila A. (G), Ruohonen H. (A),
04:57, 2 - 1, Cootes B. (G), Verhoeff K. (A), Greentree L. (A2)
10:22, Parekh Z. (2 min),
11:58, 2 - 2, Miettinen J. (G), Boelius L. (A), Kuhta J. (A2)
17:46, Boelius L. (2 min),
18:41, 3 - 2, Parekh Z. (G), Hage M. (A), McKenna G. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:47, 4 - 2, Martone P. (G), Iginla T. (A), Parekh Z. (A2)
04:42, Ruohonen H. (2 min),
05:27, 5 - 2, O'Reilly S. (G), McKenna G. (A), Hage M. (A2)
09:53, Hemming E. (2 min),
14:18, 5 - 3, Ruohonen H. (G), Tuuva L. (A),
18:33, Misa M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:51, (2 min),
05:58, MacKenzie E. (2 min),
13:35, 6 - 3, McKenna G. (G), Hage M. (A),

Preview

Canada U20 is Qualified for WCH U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Finland U20 is Qualified for WCH U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canada U20 won 4.

Canada U20 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Finland U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Canada U20 is the team to beat.

We predict that Canada U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canada U20 won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 74:51. (average 3.7:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada U20 hockey
IIHF World U20 Championship
04.01.26	Canada U20 - Czech Republic U20	4:6 ✺
02.01.26	Canada U20 - Slovakia U20	7:1 ✺
31.12.25	Canada U20 - Finland U20	7:4 ✺
29.12.25	Canada U20 - Denmark U20	9:1 ✺
27.12.25	Latvia U20 - Canada U20	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWW
- Finland U20 hockey
IIHF World U20 Championship
04.01.26	Sweden U20 - Finland U20	4:3 penalties ✺
02.01.26	USA U20 - Finland U20	3:4 OT ✺
31.12.25	Canada U20 - Finland U20	7:4 ✺
29.12.25	Finland U20 - Czech Republic U20	1:2 OT ✺
28.12.25	Finland U20 - Latvia U20	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World U20 Championship
31.12.25	Canada U20 - Finland U20	7:4
Friendly International Ice Hockey
30.07.25	Canada U20 - Finland U20	3:6
IIHF World U20 Championship
26.12.24	Finland U20 - Canada U20	0:4
Friendly International Ice Hockey
02.08.24	Canada U20 - Finland U20	8:6
IIHF World U20 Championship
26.12.23	Finland U20 - Canada U20	2:5
Friendly International Ice Hockey
23.12.22	Canada U20 - Finland U20	5:3
IIHF World U20 Championship
20.08.22	Canada U20 - Finland U20	3:2 OT

Canada U20 - Finland U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide