Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 19 October 2023, Thursday


	Celje		Fassa

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.8	1.95
	2.95	3.95	1.9	Watch
	2.82	3.57	1.88
	3	3.75	1.91
	3.04	4.2	1.89
	2.95	4.2	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.35)	3.91 ↓ (4.25)	1.91 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
30.3%

Draw
22.8%

Fassa
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

21.1%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

19.8%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Fassa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fassa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fassa than the current prediction. (+2%)

Celje - Fassa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Celje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fassa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Celje
Alps Hockey League
17.10.23	Celje - Cortina	1:7 ✺
IIHF Continental Cup
15.10.23	Zemgale LLU - Celje	4:1 ✺
Alps Hockey League
07.10.23	Steel Wings Linz - Celje	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Celje - Tigers Bregenzerwald	3:2 OT ✺
30.09.23	Celje - EHC Lustenau	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LLLWW
- Sportiva Hockey Club Fassa
Alps Hockey League
15.10.23	Fassa - Gherdëina	3:4 ✺
12.10.23	Fassa - Steel Wings Linz	5:1 ✺
07.10.23	Zell am See - Fassa	5:6 penalties ✺
05.10.23	Fassa - Acroni Jesenice	1:8 ✺
01.10.23	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Fassa	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWLL

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