Match Info

EUROPE: Alps Hockey League - Round 38

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Drsališče v Mestnem parku (Celje)


	Celje		Kitzbühel

	1	X	2
	4.9	5.15	1.4	Watch
	4.57	5.18	1.4
	5.01	5.51	1.43	Watch
	4.8	5	1.4
	5.3	5.2	1.41
	4.9	5.15	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↓ (8)	5.2 ↓ (5.8)	1.41 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
18.4%

Draw
17.4%

Kitzbühel
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

15.2%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celje's performance.

Kitzbühel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kitzbühel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Celje - Kitzbühel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Heiskanen A. (G)	35. Egger L. (G)
17. Logar M.	4. Mitrovic M.
3. Sirovnik N.	28. Wetzl N.
15. Sojer M.	10. DeLuca A.
2. Povse J.	19. Schmid P.
13. Bukovec M.	27. Christiansen S.
Line 2
43. Sillanpaa J.	69. Bruckner P.
11. Grahut N.	8. Matzka M.
22. Panasenko B.	20. Krainz C.
36. Tsarkovskyi D.	21. Geifes T.
16. Mintautiskis M.	37. Engelhart J.
Line 3
98. Kuret B.	93. Ketonen N.
18. Jakupovic A.	47. Raspotnig J.
	91. Ren J.
	78. Maxa A.
	70. Lippitsch J.
Line 4
	5. Sintschnig J.
	22. Waschnig L.
	86. Mandl K.
Substitutes
30. Gajsek J. (G)	25. Schmidt A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
08:01, 1 - 0, Sojer M. (G), Logar M. (A),
17:11, 1 - 1, Geifes T. (G), Engelhart J. (A), Wetzl N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
10:45, 2 - 1, Bukovec M. (G), Sillanpaa J. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
06:18, 2 - 2, Schmid P. (G), Christiansen S. (A), DeLuca A. (A2)
06:57, 3 - 2, Panasenko B. (G),
17:37, 3 - 3, DeLuca A. (G),
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:18, 3 - 4, DeLuca A. (G),

Preview

Celje is Alps Hockey League (Losers stage )

Kitzbühel is Qualified for Alps Hockey League (Winners stage )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Celje won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Celje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Celje have a series of guest games.

In this match Kitzbühel is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Celje won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28:42 (average 3.1:4.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Celje won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:11 (average 4.5:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Celje
Alps Hockey League
28.01.25	Unterland Cavaliers - Celje	5:4 ✺
23.01.25	Sisak - Celje	4:1 ✺
21.01.25	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Celje	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Vipiteno - Celje	5:2 ✺
06.01.25	Celje - Tigers Bregenzerwald	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWLW
- EC Kitzbühel
Alps Hockey League
26.01.25	Cortina - Kitzbühel	0:8 ✺
23.01.25	Kitzbühel - Unterland Cavaliers	5:1 ✺
18.01.25	Kitzbühel - Sisak	5:6 ✺
16.01.25	Gherdëina - Kitzbühel	5:7 ✺
11.01.25	Kitzbühel - Ritten-Renon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
28.12.24	Kitzbühel - Celje	7:1
05.10.24	Celje - Kitzbühel	4:2
03.01.24	Celje - Kitzbühel	2:3
30.11.23	Kitzbühel - Celje	6:4
20.12.15	Kitzbühel - Celje	7:1
05.12.15	Kitzbühel - Celje	3:0
10.10.15	Celje - Kitzbühel	6:3

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