The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Charlottetown Islanders 50.8%
Draw 20.7%
Sherbrooke Phoenix 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
22%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
24.4%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlottetown Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Sherbrooke Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlottetown Islanders than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlottetown Islanders that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sherbrooke Phoenix than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sherbrooke Phoenix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Carter J. (G)
30. Labbe K. (G)
11. Beaulieu A.
18. Bellemare C.
13. Butler M. (A)
26. Benard E.
15. Campbell R.
9. Bourdeau E. (A)
10. Conrad O. (A)
7. Delarosbil B.
88. Duskocy N.
11. Dubois O. (C)
14. Flanagan A.
73. Fagan P.
7. Kearsey M. (C)
14. Gagnon S.
24. Leek N. (A)
47. Giroux E.
76. Lemieux-Goupil E.
71. Haye C.
2. Peddle B.
16. Houle F.
91. Peddle T.
19. Kolmakov I.
17. Provencher A.
34. Lampron O.
18. Ryabkin I.
72. Lapointe J. (A)
72. Shields W.
27. McNeil B.
19. Staples R.
37. Plouffe J.
5. Thompson S.
88. Poirier L.
16. Voiaga N.
91. Rousseau T. (A)
34. Walsh R.
77. Tremblay L.
Substitutes
35. Bradley H. (G)
12. Brisebois J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
03:35, 1 - 0, Leek N. (G), Ryabkin I. (A), Flanagan A. (A2)
06:35, 1 - 1, Bellemare C. (G), Delarosbil B. (A),
18:55, 2 - 1, Kearsey M. (G), Carter J. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:45, 2 - 2, Plouffe J. (G),
08:40, 2 - 3, Gagnon S. (G), Plouffe J. (A), Rousseau T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:42, 2 - 4, Kolmakov I. (G), Houle F. (A), Poirier L. (A2)
08:51, 2 - 5, Delarosbil B. (G), Kolmakov I. (A), McNeil B. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlottetown won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Charlottetown may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Charlottetown has had a series of home games.
Charlottetown will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Charlottetown will win today's game, with odds of 1.91.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charlottetown won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 57:77. (average 2.9:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Charlottetown won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:36. (average 3.1:4).
Last Results with these Odds
Charlottetown Islanders - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 46.61%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Sherbrooke Phoenix - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 31.43%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.