Match Info

QMJHL

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Eastlink Centre (Charlottetown, PE)


	Charlottetown Islanders		Val-dOr Foreurs

	1	X	2
	1.89	4.9	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.15)	4.9 ↑ (4.5)	2.99 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlottetown Islanders
49.6%

Draw
19.1%

Val-dOr Foreurs
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

20.9%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

20.5%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlottetown Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlottetown Islanders's performance.

Val-dOr Foreurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlottetown Islanders than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Val-dOr Foreurs than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hickey D. (G)	37. Beaunoyer E. (G)
13. Butler M.	91. Bondar E.
8. Chen D.	12. Bourque M.
10. Conrad O. (A)	72. Brisson N. (C)
19. Durco J. J.	15. Carbonneau H.
88. Duskocy N.	7. Cossette-Ayotte B. (A)
14. Flanagan A.	13. Coursol M. (A)
7. Kearsey M. (C)	51. Demers J.
24. Leek N.	24. Duhaime M.
76. Lemieux-Goupil E.	21. Fiala S.
61. MacKinnon D.	77. Fortin A.
2. Peddle B.	6. Gouchie J.
91. Peddle T.	23. Labelle J.
17. Provencher A.	16. Maheu E.
23. Seymour J.	10. Olivier B.
72. Shields W.	5. Pare A.
16. Voiaga N.	92. Rioux S.
34. Walsh R.	55. Roberts J.
12. Watroba C.	17. Sercerchi E.
	44. Veilleux P. (A)
Substitutes
27. Gladu V. (G)	31. Moreau V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
14:38, 0 - 1, Coursol M. (G), Veilleux P. (A), Bondar E. (A2)
17:22, 1 - 1, Provencher A. (G), Leek N. (A), Kearsey M. (A2)
18:47, 1 - 2, Bourque M. (G), Pare A. (A), Bondar E. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
11:10, 1 - 3, Carbonneau H. (G), Sercerchi E. (A), Demers J. (A2)
15:28, 2 - 3, Shields W. (G), Lemieux-Goupil E. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:27, 3 - 3, Shields W. (G), Butler M. (A),
03:34, 3 - 4, Olivier B. (G), Veilleux P. (A), Cossette-Ayotte B. (A2)
03:59, 4 - 4, Shields W. (G), Butler M. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Fiala S. (Penalty Shot),
1, Shields W. (Penalty Shot),
2, Veilleux P. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kearsey M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Coursol M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Butler M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Brisson N. (Penalty Shot),
4, Leek N. (Penalty Shot),
5, Olivier B. (Penalty Shot),
5, Flanagan A. (Penalty Shot),
6, Cossette-Ayotte B. (Penalty Shot),
6, Peddle T. (Penalty Shot),
7, Sercerchi E. (Penalty Shot),
7, (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlottetown won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Charlottetown may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Charlottetown will win today's game, with odds of 2.15.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charlottetown won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 67:78. (average 3.4:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlottetown won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:32. (average 3.4:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Val-dOr Foreurs - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.44%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlottetown Islanders
QMJHL
16.10.25	Charlottetown Islanders - Victoriaville Tigres	5:4 ✺
13.10.25	Charlottetown Islanders - Newfoundland Regiment	5:6 OT ✺
10.10.25	Charlottetown Islanders - Saint John Sea Dogs	4:3 OT ✺
05.10.25	Drummondville Voltigeurs - Charlottetown Islanders	5:6 OT ✺
03.10.25	Blainville-Boisbriand Armada - Charlottetown Islanders	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWL
- Val-dOr Foreurs
QMJHL
15.10.25	Moncton Wildcats - Val-dOr Foreurs	7:2 ✺
13.10.25	Shawinigan Cataractes - Val-dOr Foreurs	3:2 OT ✺
12.10.25	Gatineau Olympiques - Val-dOr Foreurs	0:5 ✺
10.10.25	Val-dOr Foreurs - Drummondville Voltigeurs	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	Val-dOr Foreurs - Victoriaville Tigres	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

QMJHL
31.01.25	Val-dOr Foreurs - Charlottetown Islanders	10:6
05.12.24	Charlottetown Islanders - Val-dOr Foreurs	5:6 OT
25.11.23	Charlottetown Islanders - Val-dOr Foreurs	2:3 OT
04.11.23	Val-dOr Foreurs - Charlottetown Islanders	3:4
25.11.22	Charlottetown Islanders - Val-dOr Foreurs	3:6
18.11.22	Val-dOr Foreurs - Charlottetown Islanders	3:2 OT
04.12.21	Val-dOr Foreurs - Charlottetown Islanders	5:4 OT

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