Match Info

VHL

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Yunost arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelmet		Buran Voronezh

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.24	3.99	Watch
	1.66	4	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.81)	4.12 ↑ (4.03)	3.92 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
54.3%

Draw
22.3%

Buran Voronezh
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

22.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

24.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Buran Voronezh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelmet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buran Voronezh than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buran Voronezh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chelmet - Buran Voronezh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
93. Mosharov D. (G)	90. Isayev M. (G)
90. Klimontov K. (A)	95. Kolganov I.
42. Yusupov V.	5. Vanin D.
29. Mokin M.	9. Sato Y.
95. Aglamzyanov R.	96. Popov K.
14. Zinovyev I. (C)	77. Goncharov N.
Line 2
21. Kirpichnikov A.	10. Solopanov N.
48. Pronichkin A.	2. Shakurov Y. (C)
16. Shen A.	12. Dorokhov S.
57. Telegin N.	31. Bryzgalov Y.
97. Matyushin A. (A)	66. Fattakhov V.
Line 3
66. Drugalya S.	33. Goryachev A.
18. Mikanovich D.	71. Tyuvilin D. (A)
46. Shaveko V.	17. Tyutyunnikov I.
83. Gorbunov S.	24. Pavlyukov I.
33. Rykmanov A.	97. Detkov I.
Line 4
25. Fakhrutdinov R.	81. Zubov Y.
77. Tertyshny A.	91. Kozlov G.
17. Yekimov N.	22. Shipilov A. (A)
37. Mits Z.
36. Shubin D.
Substitutes
30. Utenkov D. (G)	20. Okoryak V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
15:47, 0 - 1, Bryzgalov Y. (G), Fattakhov V. (A), Dorokhov S. (A2)
17:35, 0 - 2, Goncharov N. (G), Sato Y. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
05:05, 0 - 3, Bryzgalov Y. (G), Goncharov N. (A),
09:00, 1 - 3, Telegin N. (G), Zinovyev I. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 3.

Chelmet has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Buran's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chelmet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chelmet has had a series of away games.

Recently, Buran has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chelmet is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 63:50. (average 3.2:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmet won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 3.4:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Buran Voronezh	13	6	3	2	2	30:22	20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	11	2	1	2	6	20:44	8

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.51%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Buran Voronezh - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 26.77%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
14.01.26	Omskie Krylia - Chelmet	4:5 penalties ✺
12.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelmet	5:1 ✺
10.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Chelmet	1:3 ✺
08.01.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Chelmet	6:3 ✺
25.12.25	Chelmet - Zvezda Moscow	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLL
- Buran Voronezh
VHL
16.01.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Buran Voronezh	5:3 ✺
12.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Molot Perm	1:4 ✺
08.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Toros Neftekamsk	2:4 ✺
06.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Izhstal	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
31.10.25	Buran Voronezh - Chelmet	1:2 OT
20.01.25	Chelmet - Buran Voronezh	2:1
29.10.24	Buran Voronezh - Chelmet	4:5 penalties
08.12.23	Chelmet - Buran Voronezh	3:4
06.11.23	Buran Voronezh - Chelmet	4:1
29.12.22	Chelmet - Buran Voronezh	3:2
20.10.22	Buran Voronezh - Chelmet	2:3 OT

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