Match Info

VHL

Date: 25 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Yunost arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelmet		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.15	3.58	Watch
	1.76	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.78)	4.08 ↑ (4)	3.49 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
51.2%

Draw
22.5%

Zvezda Moscow
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

22.9%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

22.1%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Chelmet - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmet (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Utenkov D. (G)	45. Gluschenko R. (G)
42. Yusupov V.	3. Sidorov M. (A)
18. Mikanovich D.	8. Bobryashov N.
97. Matyushin A.	77. Solovyov Y.
95. Aglamzyanov R.	98. Pankratov S. (A)
10. Nizameyev A.	87. Yapparov Y.
Line 2
48. Pronichkin A.	6. Gordeyev M.
43. Rodionov M.	48. Barantsev D.
29. Mokin M. (A)	62. Shalyshkin N.
57. Telegin N.	19. Prokhorov A. (C)
14. Zinovyev I. (C)	23. Khulapov D.
Line 3
22. Filatov A.	49. Bryutov Y.
77. Tertyshny A.	80. Barabosha A.
17. Yekimov N.	52. Poroshkov D.
46. Shaveko V. (A)	95. Vasin M.
37. Mits Z.	42. Savvateyev V.
Line 4
25. Fakhrutdinov R.	82. Smyshlyayev P.
66. Drugalya S.	56. Vlasenko D.
34. Gusmanov F.	75. Averochkin M.
	79. Dronyk V.
Substitutes
93. Mosharov D. (G)	31. Novozhilov I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
18:01, 1 - 0, Telegin N. (G), Mokin M. (A), Shaveko V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:54, 2 - 0, Yekimov N. (G), Mits Z. (A), Filatov A. (A2)
06:15, 2 - 1, Barantsev D. (G), Yapparov Y. (A), Poroshkov D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
09:04, 2 - 2, Bryutov Y. (G), Poroshkov D. (A), Prokhorov A. (A2)
09:32, 2 - 3, Shalyshkin N. (G), Khulapov D. (A), Vlasenko D. (A2)
18:42, 2 - 4, Pankratov S. (G), Solovyov Y. (A), Bobryashov N. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Zvezda Moscow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zvezda Moscow has had a series of home games.

Chelmet might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Chelmet will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 40:56. (average 2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmet won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1.9:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
23.12.25	Chelmet - Khimik	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Chelmet - Torpedo-Gorky	6:3 ✺
16.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Chelmet	3:2 OT ✺
05.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Chelmet	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLW
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
23.12.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Zvezda Moscow	3:0 ✺
19.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 penalties ✺
17.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal	4:1 ✺
15.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Molot Perm	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
21.11.25	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	2:5
12.02.25	Chelmet - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 OT
09.10.24	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	4:5 OT
02.02.24	Chelmet - Zvezda Moscow	2:5
18.09.23	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	2:1
16.01.23	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	1:3
10.10.22	Chelmet - Zvezda Moscow	4:1

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