The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Buran Voronezh 43.5%
Draw 24.4%
Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk 32%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
23.1%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
24.1%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buran Voronezh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buran Voronezh's form might have worsened.
Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buran Voronezh than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buran Voronezh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Buran Voronezh - Olympia Kirovo Chepetsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
90. Isayev M. (G)
33. Kuzin A. S. (G)
2. Shakurov Y. (C)
91. Lyakhov A.
10. Solopanov N.
79. Gusev M. M.
12. Dorokhov S.
59. Sorokin D.
88. Manin I.
26. Fischenko I. (A)
9. Sato Y.
86. Korobintsev V.
Line 2
8. Taratunin T.
4. Fedotov A. (C)
71. Tyuvilin D. (A)
18. Tolpegin D.
19. Alexeyev A. (A)
87. Pereskokov V.
31. Bryzgalov Y.
14. Drobin A.
66. Fattakhov V.
69. Remov A.
Line 3
33. Goryachev A.
74. Antipin V.
47. Volkov K.
89. Gainullin I.
97. Detkov I.
17. Almazov N.
24. Pavlyukov I.
31. Shiafotdinov K.
81. Zubov Y.
24. Pishchalnikov P.
Line 4
17. Tyutyunnikov I.
47. Bychkov M.
91. Kozlov G.
36. Aksyonov A.
22. Shipilov A.
10. Kandakov D.
25. Pikov M. (A)
34. Ponomaryov T.
Substitutes
20. Okoryak V. (G)
1. Chechelev D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
04:21, 1 - 0, Bryzgalov Y. (G), Shakurov Y. (A), Alexeyev A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
10:43, 1 - 1, Kandakov D. (G), Tolpegin D. (A), Antipin V. (A2)
14:51, 2 - 1, Dorokhov S. (G), Fattakhov V. (A), Tyuvilin D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
Recent form of Buran has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kirovo-Chepetsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Kirovo-Chepetsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Kirovo-Chepetsk has had a series of home games.
Buran could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Buran won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 4:2).
Including home match between the teams, Buran won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Buran Voronezh
12
6
3
1
2
27:18
19
24
Olympia
12
3
1
1
7
33:39
9
Last Results with these Odds
Buran Voronezh - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.67%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.24%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.