Match Info

VHL

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena Ugra (Khanty-Mansiysk)


	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	1.79	4.19	3.68	Watch
	1.74	4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 (1.77)	4.1 ↑ (3.93)	3.59 (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
52%

Draw
22.4%

Chelmet
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

23.2%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

22.3%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Yugra Khanty Mansiysk - Chelmet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
59. Sukhachyov V. (G)	93. Mosharov D. (G)
4. Yelizarov A. (A)	42. Yusupov V.
89. Teryayev S. (C)	18. Mikanovich D.
86. Kirileichenko M.	98. Kolodiy L.
81. Spiridonov Y.	95. Aglamzyanov R.
37. Udot A.	33. Rykmanov A.
Line 2
67. Afanasyev M.	22. Filatov A.
57. Sevostyanov A.	6. Smirnov N.
33. Maklozyan Y.	29. Mokin M.
15. Busarov G. (A)	57. Telegin N.
66. Belyayev M.	97. Matyushin A.
Line 3
79. Savelyev A.	48. Pronichkin A.
47. Medvedev P.	66. Drugalya S. (A)
28. Kazakov M.	10. Nizameyev A.
80. Maltsev M.	37. Mits Z.
13. Kadyshev K.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
Line 4
72. Savchik K.	27. Kovalenko A.
70. Rasseikin M.	17. Yekimov N.
17. Podkorytov A.	23. Shcheglov M.
91. Makeyev A.	46. Shaveko V. (A)
Substitutes
11. Popov A.	16. Shen A.
50. Sokhatsky V. (G)	30. Utenkov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
15:54, 0 - 1, Nizameyev A. (G),
17:40, 1 - 1, Teryayev S. (G), Kazakov M. (A), Maltsev M. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 2)
06:37, 2 - 1, Kadyshev K. (G), Makeyev A. (A), Teryayev S. (A2)
08:34, 3 - 1, Maklozyan Y. (G), Busarov G. (A), Yelizarov A. (A2)
10:33, 4 - 1, Makeyev A. (G), Podkorytov A. (A),
17:03, 5 - 1, Spiridonov Y. (G), Kirileichenko M. (A), Udot A. (A2)
17:26, 5 - 2, Mokin M. (G),
17:43, 5 - 3, Nizameyev A. (G), Mikanovich D. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:05, 6 - 3, Kazakov M. (G), Kadyshev K. (A), Makeyev A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yugra won 2.

Yugra is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chelmet has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chelmet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Yugra is considered a favorite.

We predict that Yugra will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Yugra won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 43:36. (average 2.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Yugra won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.7:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
23	HC Yugra	11	4	2	0	5	20:17	12
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	11	2	1	2	6	20:44	8

Last Results with these Odds

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 51.46%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Chelmet - the odds 3.59 are the expected chance of winning is 25.37%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
VHL
06.01.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Rubin Tyumen	4:3 ✺
24.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:3 ✺
22.12.25	Izhstal - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:6 ✺
20.12.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWW
- HC Chelmet
VHL
25.12.25	Chelmet - Zvezda Moscow	2:4 ✺
23.12.25	Chelmet - Khimik	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Chelmet - Torpedo-Gorky	6:3 ✺
16.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Chelmet	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.11.25	Chelmet - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:4 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.25	Chelmet - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:2 OT
VHL
28.01.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Chelmet	1:2
23.10.24	Chelmet - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	6:2
08.02.24	Chelmet - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	4:1
14.09.23	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Chelmet	4:2
07.02.23	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Chelmet	2:3

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