Match Info

VHL

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.55	3.28
	2.07	3.9	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.9)	3.73 ↓ (4.05)	3.17 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
45.1%

Draw
25.2%

Bars Kazan
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

23.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

22.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-3%)

AKM - Bars Kazan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AKM (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Akhmetov A. (G)	80. Chibizov A. (G)
25. Puchkov Y. (A)	24. Bogatov N. (A)
71. Zaitsev D.	39. Almetkin V.
15. Yermakov Y.	17. Gizatullin D.
70. Dyukarev V.	9. Alshevsky S. (A)
86. Ignatov S.	55. Sherstnyov D.
Line 2
85. Fazylzyanov K.	84. Safin A.
3. Zhurakov D.	60. Lisov N.
29. Kaburov G.	64. Gazizov R.
13. Bryntsev M.	28. Golubev D. (C)
32. Manin Y.	32. Vasilkov A.
Line 3
80. Strugov Y.	26. Taimazov A.
38. Bulygin D.	53. Makhmutov A.
79. Shulenin G.	23. Zinovyev D.
77. Sharifyanov T.	41. Klimkin I.
28. Tsybin M. (A)	88. Alshevsky Y.
Line 4
23. Yuzbashyan R.	5. Mubaraksins A.
5. Denisov D.	71. Samigullin R.
84. Galeyev R.	10. Galeyev I.
90. Komissarov L.	98. Saberzyanov M.
36. Shumilin Y.	93. Barsukov I.
Substitutes
91. Pastukh V. (G)	20. Arefyev M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
04:55, 0 - 1, Samigullin R. (G), Alshevsky Y. (A), Zinovyev D. (A2)
08:05, 0 - 2, Galeyev I. (G), Bogatov N. (A), Barsukov I. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:25, 0 - 3, Sherstnyov D. (G), Gizatullin D. (A), Chibizov A. (A2)
14:27, 1 - 3, Strugov Y. (G), Kaburov G. (A), Tsybin M. (A2)
19:30, 2 - 3, Ignatov S. (G), Fazylzyanov K. (A), Strugov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

AKM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

AKM will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, AKM won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 2.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, AKM won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 3.3:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

AKM - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.35%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
21.10.25	AKM - CSK VVS Samara	1:3 ✺
15.10.25	AKM - Ryazan	0:6 ✺
10.10.25	Dizel Penza - AKM	2:3 penalties ✺
08.10.25	Kristall Saratov - AKM	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	Izhstal - AKM	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWL
- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
21.10.25	Ryazan - Bars Kazan	4:3 penalties ✺
19.10.25	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	1:2 penalties ✺
17.10.25	Kristall Saratov - Bars Kazan	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	0:3 ✺
10.10.25	Bars Kazan - Toros Neftekamsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
03.02.25	AKM - Bars Kazan	6:1
16.10.24	Bars Kazan - AKM	1:3
28.12.23	AKM - Bars Kazan	3:0
20.10.23	Bars Kazan - AKM	1:2
31.01.23	AKM - Bars Kazan	1:0
20.09.22	Bars Kazan - AKM	5:4 OT
10.01.22	Bars Kazan - AKM	3:1

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