Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets Sporta (Naberezhnye Chelny)


	Chelny		Toros Neftekamsk

	1	X	2
	4.26	4.65	1.59
	4.16	4.4	1.67	Watch
	3.95	4.3	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (4.28)	4.45 ↑ (3.9)	1.65 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelny
22.6%

Draw
21%

Toros Neftekamsk
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

23.9%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

24.4%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Chelny - Toros Neftekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Noskov A. (G)	49. Braginsky D. (G)
72. Kolmagorov K. (C)	96. Gazimov I.
62. Naumov G.	85. Budnitsky V.
25. Rakhcheev I.	44. Khvorov N.
13. Sapozhnikov V.	25. Valeyev T. (A)
96. Lomako O.	24. Andreichenko V.
Line 2
50. Motygullin B. (A)	9. Orlov G.
45. Alyayev A.	3. Shatilo I.
10. Ustimkin M.	10. Kolesnikov S.
94. Sherstobitov D.	81. Volokitin P.
9. Nasyrov M.	56. Suvorov A.
Line 3
28. Taratunin T.	89. Shcherbakov N.
58. Muzhikov D.	4. Chebotaryov V. (A)
78. Balashov M.	93. Gimbatov R.
68. Silayev I. (A)	22. Sorokin Y. (C)
29. Manukyan A.	14. Chyorny A.
Line 4
33. Dergousov D.	17. Sychyov V.
23. Zaripov A.	46. Yelsukov F.
21. Fedyakin S.	82. Kuznetsov A.
59. Anufriev I.	72. Zavizhsky M.
	80. Galiyev E.
Substitutes
80. Gorokhov N. (G)	30. Zhigalov I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
00:06, 0 - 1, Andreichenko V. (G),
01:41, 0 - 2, Suvorov A. (G), Shcherbakov N. (A), Chyorny A. (A2)
14:54, 1 - 2, Sherstobitov D. (G), Nasyrov M. (A), Silayev I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:56, 1 - 3, Valeyev T. (G), Sychyov V. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
10:52, 2 - 3, Sherstobitov D. (G),
19:59, 2 - 4, Gazimov I. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Toros is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 2.9:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 2:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelny - the odds 4.28 are the expected chance of winning is 21.81%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelny
VHL
10.10.25	Chelny - Molot Perm	2:3 ✺
08.10.25	Chelny - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:1 ✺
03.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Chelny	5:0 ✺
01.10.25	Chelmet - Chelny	6:2 ✺
29.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Chelny	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWLLW
- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
10.10.25	Bars Kazan - Toros Neftekamsk	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	CSK VVS Samara - Toros Neftekamsk	5:2 ✺
02.10.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Kristall Saratov	5:1 ✺
30.09.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Dizel Penza	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Ryazan	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
13.08.25	Chelny - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 penalties
VHL
25.01.25	Chelny - Toros Neftekamsk	0:2
30.10.24	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelny	6:4
25.12.23	Chelny - Toros Neftekamsk	3:5
02.09.23	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelny	6:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.21	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelny	4:3
04.09.19	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelny	0:3

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