Match Info

VHL

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Yunost arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelmet		Chelny

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.87	5.07
	1.43	5.15	5.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.67)	5.01 ↑ (4.1)	5.39 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
64.2%

Draw
18.6%

Chelny
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

22.8%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

22.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelmet's performance.

Chelny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelmet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Chelmet - Chelny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Utenkov D. (G)	31. Noskov A. (G)
42. Yusupov V.	72. Kolmagorov K.
90. Klimontov K. (A)	45. Alyayev A. (A)
29. Mokin M. (A)	78. Balashov M.
37. Mits Z.	68. Silayev I. (C)
14. Zinovyev I. (C)	89. Migur A.
Line 2
43. Rodionov M.	58. Muzhikov D.
79. Savelyev A.	62. Naumov G.
17. Yekimov N.	10. Ustimkin M.
57. Telegin N.	94. Sherstobitov D.
10. Nizameev A.	96. Lomako O. (A)
Line 3
22. Filatov A.	19. Zakharov N.
48. Pronichkin A.	28. Taratunin T.
97. Matyushin A.	71. Magerya M.
83. Gorbunov S.	13. Sapozhnikov V.
46. Shaveko V.	9. Nasyrov M.
Line 4
77. Tertyshny A.	50. Motygullin B.
25. Fakhrutdinov R.	23. Zaripov A.
23. Shcheglov M.	25. Rakhcheev I.
34. Gusmanov F.	11. Luchenkov S.
Substitutes
40. Sherstnev S. (G)	1. Ustimenko K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
05:57, 1 - 0, Shaveko V. (G), Zinovyev I. (A), Rodionov M. (A2)
19:51, 1 - 1, Alyayev A. (G), Lomako O. (A), Sherstobitov D. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:51, 2 - 1, Nizameev A. (G), Telegin N. (A), Yekimov N. (A2)
09:57, 3 - 1, Yekimov N. (G), Nizameev A. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
06:44, 3 - 2, Sherstobitov D. (G), Kolmagorov K. (A),
10:12, 4 - 2, Zinovyev I. (G), Mits Z. (A),
16:28, 5 - 2, Matyushin A. (G), Yusupov V. (A),
19:19, 6 - 2, Zinovyev I. (G), Mokin M. (A),

Preview

Recent performances by Chelmet have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chelny is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chelmet is the team to beat.

We predict that Chelmet will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:9. (average 6.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 6.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelny - the odds 4.45 are the expected chance of winning is 21.05%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
29.09.25	Chelmet - Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties ✺
27.09.25	Chelmet - CSK VVS Samara	6:3 ✺
22.09.25	Kristall Saratov - Chelmet	2:5 ✺
20.09.25	Dizel Penza - Chelmet	6:1 ✺
18.09.25	Ryazan - Chelmet	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLL
- HC Chelny
VHL
29.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Chelny	2:3 OT ✺
27.09.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelny	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Chelny - Torpedo-Gorky	2:3 penalties ✺
19.09.25	Chelny - Khimik	3:7 ✺
17.09.25	Chelny - Zvezda Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
09.12.24	Chelny - Chelmet	5:3
29.11.24	Chelmet - Chelny	7:1
12.02.24	Chelny - Chelmet	1:9
08.09.23	Chelmet - Chelny	6:2

Chelmet - Chelny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide