Match Info
VHLDate: 3 October 2025, FridayLocation: Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Gornyak-UGMK |
|
Chelny |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.31 |
5.48 |
7.04 |
|
 |
1.3 |
6.1 |
7.5 |
 Watch |
 |
1.26 |
5.8 |
7.6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.35) |
5.79 ↑
(5.25) |
7.38 ↑
(6.25) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gornyak-UGMK
71.6% | Draw
15.9% | Chelny
12.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Chelny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (+1.8%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
93.  Romashkin P. (G)
| 1. Ustimenko K. (G)
|
72. Trofimov Y.
| 72. Kolmagorov K.
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85. Zhuravlyov Y.
| 62. Naumov G.
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29. Khremkin K.
| 78. Balashov M.
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10.  Filyayev V.
| 68. Silayev I. (C)
|
32. Borisov S.
| 89. Migur A.
|
| Line 2 |
|---|
23. Gamzakov M.
| 45. Alyayev A. (A)
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92. Valitov D.
| 33. Dergousov D.
|
7. Gordin A. (A)
| 10. Ustimkin M.
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13. Zaytsev O. (C)
| 94. Sherstobitov D.
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80. Demidovich V.
| 96. Lomako O. (A)
|
| Line 3 |
|---|
3. Zubarev A.
| 19. Zakharov N.
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90. Nekrasov N. (A)
| 58. Muzhikov D.
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79. Tarasov M.
| 9. Nasyrov M.
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14. Makhrin M.
| 25. Rakhcheev I.
|
44. Lukhovskoy N.
| 11. Luchenkov S.
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| Line 4 |
|---|
4. Bolshakov M.
| 50. Motygullin B.
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16. Myslyayev S.
| 23. Zaripov A.
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59. Razdyakonov V.
| 21. Fedyakin S.
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18. Sushchev V.
| 88. Arefyev Y.
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71. Velikov M.
| |
| Substitutes |
|---|
30. Novosyolov N. (G)
| 31. Noskov A. (G)
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (3 - 0)
- 00:53, 1 - 0, Khremkin K. (G), Valitov D. (A), Zaytsev O. (A2)
- 06:12, 2 - 0, Demidovich V. (G), Gordin A. (A), Zhuravlyov Y. (A2)
- 10:28, 3 - 0, Demidovich V. (G),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:54, 4 - 0, Razdyakonov V. (G), Velikov M. (A), Sushchev V. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 13:10, 5 - 0, Tarasov M. (G), Makhrin M. (A), Lukhovskoy N. (A2)
Preview
Recent performances by Gornyak-UGMK have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Chelny is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Chelny may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is the clear favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 2.8:2.8).Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| VHL | | | 11.12.24 | Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK | 2:5 | | 01.12.24 | Gornyak-UGMK - Chelny | 2:3 penalties | | 18.02.24 | Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK | 5:1 | | 10.09.23 | Gornyak-UGMK - Chelny | 3:1 |
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