Match Info

VHL

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ledovy Dvorets Sporta (Naberezhnye Chelny) 🌤️ ...


	Chelny		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.76	4.47	1.73	Watch
	3.9	4.09	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.3)	4.28 ↑ (3.7)	1.71 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chelny
24.2%

Draw
21.6%

Zvezda Moscow
54.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

25.3%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

24.8%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zvezda Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zvezda Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chelny - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
31. Noskov A. (G)	45. Gluschenko R. (G)
45. Alyayev A. (A)	96. Dryagilev A.
33. Dergousov D.	8. Bobryashov N.
10. Ustimkin M.	19. Prokhorov A. (C)
70. Maltsev M.	98. Pankratov S. (A)
94. Sherstobitov D.	79. Dronyk V.
Line 2
28. Taratunin T. (A)	32. Rogov I.
62. Naumov G.	49. Bryutov Y. (A)
11. Luchenkov S.	90. Pautov I.
68. Silayev I. (C)	88. Almazov N.
59. Anufriev I.	77. Solovyov Y.
Line 3
19. Zakharov N.	80. Barabosha A.
72. Kolmagorov K.	6. Gordeyev M.
71. Magerya M.	39. Kuzminov Y.
88. Arefyev Y.	75. Averochkin M.
9. Nasyrov M.	47. Shamshurin S.
Line 4
23. Zaripov A.	82. Smyshlyayev P.
21. Fedyakin S.	62. Shalyshkin N.
61. Shcheglov N.	95. Vasin M.
	23. Khulapov D.
Substitutes
80. Gorokhov N. (G)	64. Andreyanov P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
08:19, 0 - 1, Pankratov S. (G), Shalyshkin N. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:55, 0 - 2, Smyshlyayev P. (G), Pautov I. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Chelny is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zvezda Moscow is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chelny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chelny has had a series of away games.

In this match, Zvezda Moscow is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Zvezda Moscow will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:24. (average 1.6:4.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelny
VHL
12.09.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Chelny	5:0 ✺
10.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Chelny	1:2 OT ✺
08.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelny	5:2 ✺
06.09.25	Omskie Krylia - Chelny	9:3 ✺
02.09.25	Chelny - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWLLL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
15.09.25	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	1:5 ✺
13.09.25	CSK VVS Samara - Zvezda Moscow	1:3 ✺
09.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - Kristall Saratov	3:2 penalties ✺
07.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - Dizel Penza	3:2 penalties ✺
05.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - Ryazan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.03.25	Chelny - Zvezda Moscow	2:3
17.09.24	Zvezda Moscow - Chelny	6:2
15.12.23	Chelny - Zvezda Moscow	0:3
25.10.23	Zvezda Moscow - Chelny	5:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.21	Zvezda Moscow - Chelny	7:2

Chelny - Zvezda Moscow