Match Info

VHL

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Sports Palace (Tyumen)


	Rubin Tyumen		Chelny

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.73	7.01
	1.31	5.56	7.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.32)	5.65 ↑ (5.1)	7.4 ↓ (8.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Tyumen
71.1%

Draw
16.4%

Chelny
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

18.3%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

11.9%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Chelny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (-24.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rubin Tyumen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Rubin Tyumen - Chelny Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Line 1
90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)	31. Noskov A. (G)
11. Popov Y.	65. Valiyev R.
12. Lyutov D.	50. Motygullin B. (A)
9. Ivanov S.	10. Ustimkin M.
10. Petrakov I.	94. Sherstobitov D.
27. Davydov D.	9. Nasyrov M.
Line 2
28. Tsyganov D.	45. Alyayev A. (A)
7. Brinkmann A.	33. Dergousov D.
80. Koshurnikov K.	71. Magerya M.
22. Babenko Y.	21. Fedyakin S.
43. Voronkov P.	59. Anufriev I.
Line 3
55. Stikhanovsky M.	28. Taratunin T.
24. Kolganov I.	62. Naumov G.
53. Voevodin D.	23. Zaripov A.
18. Meshcheryakov M.	68. Silayev I. (C)
8. Bryutov N.	11. Luchenkov S.
Line 4
6. Gatiyatulin I.	19. Zakharov N.
25. Kandakov D.	15. Yakutov A.
85. Styozhkin I.	25. Rakhcheev I.
66. Piliya D.	61. Shcheglov N.
Substitutes
1. Gromovik Y. (G)	80. Gorokhov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
15:40, 0 - 1, Naumov G. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:23, 1 - 1, Davydov D. (G), Popov Y. (A), Koshurnikov K. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:07, 1 - 2, Alyayev A. (G), Magerya M. (A), Sherstobitov D. (A2)

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, Chelny has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rubin is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 3.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
08.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Bars Kazan	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - CSK VVS Samara	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.25	Rubin Tyumen - Chelmet	2:3 OT ✺
27.08.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 penalties ✺
26.08.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Rubin Tyumen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL
- HC Chelny
VHL
08.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelny	5:2 ✺
06.09.25	Omskie Krylia - Chelny	9:3 ✺
02.09.25	Chelny - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.25	Izhstal - Chelny	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	CSK VVS Samara - Chelny	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
17.02.25	Rubin Tyumen - Chelny	3:2
05.10.24	Chelny - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 penalties
17.12.23	Chelny - Rubin Tyumen	1:6
27.10.23	Rubin Tyumen - Chelny	4:2

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