The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Blackhawks 22.1%
Draw 20.4%
Vegas Golden Knights 57.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
21.7%
48.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
23.3%
52.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Blackhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicago Blackhawks's form might have worsened.
Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vegas Golden Knights's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Blackhawks than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Blackhawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.5%
23.1%
38.5%
Chicago Blackhawks - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Vegas will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chicago Blackhawks will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
40. Soderblom A. (G)
40. Schmid A. (G)
46. Crevier L.
2. Whitecloud Z.
72. Vlasic A.
15. Hanifin N.
28. Burakovsky A.
93. Marner M.
20. Greene R.
9. Eichel J. (A)
59. Bertuzzi T.
49. Barbashev I. (A)
Line 2
55. Levshunov A.
6. Korczak K.
44. Kaiser W.
5. Lauzon J.
95. Mikheyev I.
42. Bowman B.
16. Dickinson J. (A)
48. Hertl T.
8. Donato R.
16. Dorofeyev P.
Line 3
5. Murphy C. (A)
17. Hutton B.
48. Grzelcyk M.
88. Megna J.
76. Lardis N.
61. Stone M. (C)
11. Moore O.
21. Howden B.
86. Teravainen T.
19. Smith R.
Line 4
84. Slaggert L.
55. Kolesar K.
34. Dach C.
10. Sissons C.
17. Foligno N. (C)
20. Saad B.
Substitutes
30. Knight S. (G)
79. Hart C. (G)
Coaches
. Blashill J.
. Cassidy B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
10:40, 0 - 1, Saad B. (G), Howden B. (A), Holtz A. (A2)
12:38, 1 - 1, Bertuzzi T. (G), Vlasic A. (A), Burakovsky A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:43, 1 - 2, Stone M. (G), Eichel J. (A), Hanifin N. (A2)
09:55, Lauzon J. (2 min),
14:44, Greene R. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
11:36, 2 - 2, Bertuzzi T. (G), Greene R. (A), Burakovsky A. (A2)
13:35, Megna J. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:18, 3 - 2, Bertuzzi T. (G), Mikheyev I. (A), Levshunov A. (A2)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1.
In recent matches, Chicago has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Vegas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Vegas has had a series of home games.
In this match, Vegas is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Chicago: Bedard C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Nazar F.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Weber S.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Vegas: Hill A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Karlsson W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
McNabb B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Pietrangelo A.
(Hip Injury)
Theodore S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
We predict that Chicago will win today's game, with odds of 4.27.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 54:67. (average 2.7:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 2.9:3.1).
Outrights of NHL for now
Vegas Golden Knights: 7.13% Chicago Blackhawks: 0.31%
Last Results with these Odds
Chicago Blackhawks - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 29.39%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
Vegas Golden Knights - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.88%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.