The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis Blues 31.9%
Draw 22.9%
Vegas Golden Knights 45.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
22.1%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
23%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis Blues than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
St. Louis Blues - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. St. Louis will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Vegas will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vegas Golden Knights will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Vegas (votes: 9 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Hofer J. (G)
79. Hart C. (G)
55. Parayko C.
6. Korczak K.
6. Broberg P.
3. McNabb B.
89. Buchnevich P.
61. Stone M.
18. Thomas R.
93. Marner M.
29. Berggren J.
49. Barbashev I.
Line 2
72. Faulk J.
17. Hutton B.
17. Fowler C.
15. Hanifin N.
21. Snuggerud J.
16. Dorofeyev P.
10. Schenn B.
48. Hertl T.
63. Neighbours J.
26. Holtz A.
Line 3
51. Kessel M.
2. Whitecloud Z.
75. Tucker T.
5. Lauzon J.
25. Kyrou J.
42. Bowman B.
54. Dvorsky D.
21. Howden B.
28. Stenberg O.
19. Smith R.
Line 4
71. Joseph M.
55. Kolesar K.
70. Sundqvist O.
10. Sissons C.
13. Toropchenko A.
20. Saad B.
Substitutes
50. Binnington J. (G)
40. Schmid A. (G)
Coaches
. Montgomery J.
. Cassidy B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
01:35, Kyrou J. (2 min),
03:44, Kyrou J. (Penalty Shot),
07:09, Faulk J. (2 min),
10:12, 0 - 1, Kolesar K. (G), Sissons C. (A), Korczak K. (A2)
10:39, 1 - 1, Toropchenko A. (G), Joseph M. (A), Sundqvist O. (A2)
15:11, Hutton B. (2 min),
19:38, Marner M. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
05:39, 2 - 1, Faulk J. (G), Buchnevich P. (A), Tucker T. (A2)
06:37, 3 - 1, Sundqvist O. (G), Toropchenko A. (A), Joseph M. (A2)
09:10, 3 - 2, Stone M. (G), Howden B. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:21, 3 - 3, Dorofeyev P. (G), Bowman B. (A),
18:27, 4 - 3, Schenn B. (G), Snuggerud J. (A), Buchnevich P. (A2)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 1.
St. Louis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Vegas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Vegas has had a series of home games.
Vegas could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in St. Louis: Bjugstad N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Holloway D.
(Ankle Injury)
Jecho A.
(Hand Injury)
Krug T.
(Ankle Injury)
Suter P.
(Ankle Injury)
Walker N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Vegas: Eichel J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Hill A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Karlsson W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Pietrangelo A.
(Hip Injury)
Theodore S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Vegas: McNabb B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 53:77. (average 2.7:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:47. (average 2.5:4.3).
Outrights of NHL for now
Vegas Golden Knights: 7.11% St. Louis Blues: 0.59%
Last Results with these Odds
Vegas Golden Knights - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 46.32%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.