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Current Win Probability
Chicago Blackhawks 27.5%
Draw 22.2%
Dallas Stars 50.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
21.1%
50.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
21.2%
50.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Blackhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
The chances for Dallas Stars have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Blackhawks than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
12.5%
50%
Chicago Blackhawks - Dallas Stars Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Dallas will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 21.5% – 71.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dallas Stars will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Knight S. (G)
29. Oettinger J. (G)
46. Crevier L.
4. Heiskanen M. (A)
72. Vlasic A.
23. Lindell E. (A)
28. Burakovsky A.
96. Rantanen M.
20. Greene R.
53. Johnston W.
59. Bertuzzi T.
18. Steel S.
Line 2
55. Levshunov A.
5. Lundkvist N.
44. Kaiser W.
55. Harley T.
95. Mikheyev I.
22. Bourque M.
16. Dickinson J. (A)
24. Hintz R.
8. Donato R.
21. Robertson J.
Line 3
5. Murphy C. (A)
28. Petrovic A.
48. Grzelcyk M.
46. Lyubushkin I.
76. Lardis N.
14. Benn Ja. (C)
11. Moore O.
95. Duchene M.
86. Teravainen T.
49. Hryckowian J.
Line 4
84. Slaggert L.
15. Blackwell C.
34. Dach C.
12. Faksa R.
17. Foligno N. (C)
10. Back O.
Substitutes
40. Soderblom A. (G)
1. DeSmith C. (G)
Coaches
. Blashill J.
. Gulutzan G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
10:47, Lindell E. (2 min),
11:48, 1 - 0, Levshunov A. (G), Burakovsky A. (A), Donato R. (A2)
14:42, 1 - 1, Rantanen M. (G), Steel S. (A),
20:00, Lundkvist N. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:13, 2 - 1, Teravainen T. (G), Burakovsky A. (A), Bertuzzi T. (A2)
09:14, 3 - 1, Mikheyev I. (G), Grzelcyk M. (A),
09:14, Heiskanen M. (2 min),
17:37, Hryckowian J. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
03:56, 4 - 1, Mikheyev I. (G), Donato R. (A), Murphy C. (A2)
09:46, Crevier L. (2 min),
16:03, 4 - 2, Robertson J. (G), Rantanen M. (A), Duchene M. (A2)
19:42, 4 - 3, Duchene M. (G), Johnston W. (A), Robertson J. (A2)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2.
Chicago is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Dallas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Dallas might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Chicago: Bedard C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Nazar F.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Weber S.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Dallas: Bichsel L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Seguin T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Chicago: Dickinson J.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 54:78. (average 2.7:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:42. (average 2.6:3.5).
Outrights of NHL for now
Dallas Stars: 4.52% Chicago Blackhawks: 0.33%
Last Results with these Odds
Chicago Blackhawks - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 28.64%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.
Dallas Stars - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 50.3%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.