Match Info

NHL

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul, MN) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:00	Disney+
Brazil	21:00	Disney+
Chile	21:00	Disney+
Colombia	19:00	Disney+
Denmark	02:00	Viaplay
Finland	03:00	Viaplay
Germany	02:00	NHL.tv
Mexico	18:00	Disney+
Norway	02:00	Viaplay
Peru	19:00	Disney+
Slovakia	02:00	Voyo
Sweden	02:00	Viaplay
Uruguay	21:00	Disney+
Usa	20:00	ESPN USA, ESPN+, MSG Sportsnet, MSG, NESN
Venezuela	20:00	Disney+
International	00:00	NHL.tv


	Minnesota Wild		Vegas Golden Knights

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.1	2.35	Watch
	2.40	4.00	2.40
	2.55	4.05	2.42
	2.52	4.16	2.41
	2.5	4.21	2.41	Watch
	2.5	4.1	2.4
	2.56	4.22	2.48
	2.43	4	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.66)	4.11 ↓ (4.2)	2.41 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota Wild
37.9%

Draw
23%

Vegas Golden Knights
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.5%

23.1%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

22.4%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Minnesota Wild - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Vegas will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Wallstedt J. (G)	79. Hart C. (G)
46. Spurgeon J. (C)	27. Theodore S.
43. Hughes Q.	3. McNabb B.
12. Boldy M.	61. Stone M. (C)
14. Eriksson Ek J.	9. Eichel J. (A)
97. Kaprizov K. (A)	49. Barbashev I.
Line 2
25. Brodin J.	4. Andersson R.
3. Maatta O.	29. Wotherspoon P.
49. Shabanov M.	93. Marner M.
38. Hartman R.	71. Karlsson W.
20. Coleman B.	21. Howden B.
Line 3
24. Bogosian Z.	15. Hanifin N.
48. Hunt D.	5. Lauzon J.
10. Brink B.	36. Lavoie R.
22. Yurov D.	48. Hertl T.
61. Rieger L. (A)	24. Connelly T.
Line 4
13. Trenin Y.	17. Gatcomb M.
47. McCarron M.	26. Dowd N.
78. Sturm N.	42. Bowman B.
Substitutes
31. Pickard C. (G)	33. Hill A. (G)
Coaches
. Hynes J.	. Craig R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
06:42, Yurov D. (2 min),
11:50, 1 - 0, Boldy M. (G), Maatta O. (A), Hughes Q. (A2)
14:15, Coghlan D. (2 min),
14:32, 2 - 0, Shabanov M. (G), Hughes Q. (A),
16:57, 3 - 0, Yurov D. (G), Brink B. (A), Rieger L. (A2)
18:14, Wallstedt J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:37, 3 - 1, Andersson R. (G), Hertl T. (A), Lavoie R. (A2)
11:14, Coleman B. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:36, Rieger L. (5 min),
02:36, Lauzon J. (5 min),
09:25, 3 - 2, Karlsson W. (G), Howden B. (A), Marner M. (A2)
09:25, Yurov D. (2 min),
18:38, 4 - 2, Eriksson Ek J. (G), Kaprizov K. (A),
19:05, Coleman B. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.

Minnesota has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Vegas is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Minnesota has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Minnesota: Faber B. (Head Injury) Foligno N. (Upper-Body Injury) Gustavsson F. (Hip Injury).

Confirmed absences for Vegas: Olofsson V. (Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Minnesota: Bogosian Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Foligno M. (Lower-Body Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:67 (averaging 2.8:3.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Minnesota against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 24:30 goals (averaging 2.4:3 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Vegas Golden Knights: 7.86% Minnesota Wild: 6.13%

Last Results with these Odds

Minnesota Wild - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 36.47%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota Wild
NHL
10.10.26	Florida Panthers - Minnesota Wild	1:4 ✺
08.10.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Minnesota Wild	3:2 ✺
06.10.26	Buffalo Sabres - Minnesota Wild	3:2 OT ✺
03.10.26	Minnesota Wild - Boston Bruins	4:1 ✺
01.10.26	Nashville Predators - Minnesota Wild	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLWW
- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
10.10.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Los Angeles Kings	2:1 OT ✺
08.10.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:3 penalties ✺
06.10.26	Seattle Kraken - Vegas Golden Knights	2:6 ✺
04.10.26	Vancouver Canucks - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3 ✺
02.10.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Anaheim Ducks	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
06.03.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Minnesota Wild	2:4
29.12.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Minnesota Wild	2:5
16.11.25	Minnesota Wild - Vegas Golden Knights	3:2 OT
01.05.25	Minnesota Wild - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3
29.04.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Minnesota Wild	3:2 OT
26.04.25	Minnesota Wild - Vegas Golden Knights	3:4 OT
24.04.25	Minnesota Wild - Vegas Golden Knights	5:2

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