Match Info

NHL

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Germany	NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
United-kingdom	DAZN, Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Washington Capitals		Chicago Blackhawks

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.75	4.75	Watch
	1.59	4.4	4.5
	1.59	4.77	4.63
	1.6	4.78	4.58	Watch
	1.57	5	4.5
	1.64	5.02	4.52
	1.58	4.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.92)	4.78 ↑ (4.72)	4.57 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Washington Capitals
59.5%

Draw
19.8%

Chicago Blackhawks
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

20.5%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

21%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Washington Capitals's performance.

Chicago Blackhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chicago Blackhawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Washington Capitals that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Blackhawks than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chicago Blackhawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Washington Capitals - Chicago Blackhawks Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Washington Capitals will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)	30. Knight S. (G)
74. Carlson J. (A)	46. Crevier L.
38. Sandin R.	72. Vlasic A.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)	28. Burakovsky A.
17. Strome D.	20. Greene R.
21. Protas A.	59. Bertuzzi T.
Line 2
3. Roy M.	55. Levshunov A.
6. Chychrun J.	44. Kaiser W.
43. Wilson T. (A)	95. Mikheyev I.
34. Sourdif J.	16. Dickinson J. (A)
24. McMichael C.	8. Donato R.
Line 3
57. Van Riemsdyk T.	5. Murphy C. (A)
42. Fehervary M.	48. Grzelcyk M.
9. Leonard R.	76. Lardis N.
26. Dowd N.	11. Moore O.
72. Beauvillier A.	86. Teravainen T.
Line 4
53. Frank E.	84. Slaggert L.
29. Lapierre H.	17. Foligno N. (C)
22. Duhaime B.	34. Dach C.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)	40. Soderblom A. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.	. Blashill J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:13, 0 - 1, Donato R. (G), Mikheyev I. (A),
04:46, 1 - 1, Strome D. (G), Frank E. (A), Van Riemsdyk T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:20, Chychrun J. (2 min),
04:24, 1 - 2, Teravainen T. (G), Bertuzzi T. (A), Burakovsky A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
07:27, Kaiser W. (2 min),
11:18, 2 - 2, Leonard R. (G), Roy M. (A), Beauvillier A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
04:06, Chychrun J. (2 min),
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Leonard R. (Penalty Shot),
1, Lardis N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Strome D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Donato R. (Penalty Shot),
3, Beauvillier A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Moore O. (Penalty Shot),
4, McMichael C. (Penalty Shot),
4, Crevier L. (Penalty Shot),
5, Milano S. (Penalty Shot),
5, Burakovsky A. (Penalty Shot),
6, Chychrun J. (Penalty Shot),
6, Foligno N. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chicago has had a series of home games.

In this match, Washington is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Abdominal strain)

There will not play in Chicago: Bedard C. (Shoulder Injury) Nazar F. (Upper-Body Injury) Weber S. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 84:55. (average 4.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 45:19. (average 4.5:1.9).

Outrights of NHL for now

Washington Capitals: 5.74% Chicago Blackhawks: 0.33%

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Capitals - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 50.51%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Capitals
NHL
01.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Washington Capitals	4:3 ✺
31.12.25	Washington Capitals - New York Rangers	6:3 ✺
29.12.25	Florida Panthers - Washington Capitals	5:3 ✺
27.12.25	New Jersey Devils - Washington Capitals	3:4 OT ✺
23.12.25	Washington Capitals - New York Rangers	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL
- Chicago Blackhawks
NHL
01.01.26	Chicago Blackhawks - Dallas Stars	4:3 ✺
30.12.25	Chicago Blackhawks - New York Islanders	2:3 penalties ✺
28.12.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:7 ✺
27.12.25	Dallas Stars - Chicago Blackhawks	3:4 penalties ✺
23.12.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Philadelphia Flyers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
04.04.25	Washington Capitals - Chicago Blackhawks	5:3
17.12.24	Chicago Blackhawks - Washington Capitals	3:2
09.03.24	Washington Capitals - Chicago Blackhawks	4:1
10.12.23	Chicago Blackhawks - Washington Capitals	2:4
23.03.23	Washington Capitals - Chicago Blackhawks	6:1
13.12.22	Chicago Blackhawks - Washington Capitals	3:7
15.12.21	Chicago Blackhawks - Washington Capitals	5:4 OT

Upcoming Matches