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Current Win Probability
Chicago Wolves 32.9%
Draw 22.6%
Grand Rapids Griffins 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
22.1%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
23.8%
42.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Grand Rapids Griffins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Wolves than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grand Rapids Griffins than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Chicago Wolves - Grand Rapids Griffins Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Primeau C. (G)
35. Postava M. (G)
22. Brind'Amour S.
77. Angle T.
2. Fensore D.
25. Becher O.
52. Foote C.
28. Brandsegg-Nygard M.
10. Gunler N.
47. Doucet A.
34. Heimosalmi A.
15. Dries S. (A)
82. Nadeau B.
56. Gustafsson E.
79. Neuchev V.
23. Johansson A.
9. Nystrom J.
37. Lagesson W. (A)
15. Pavlychev N.
19. Leonard J.
12. Philp N.
43. Mazur C.
93. Robidas J. (A)
81. Rychlovsky J.
27. Ryabkin I.
44. Sandin-Pellikka A.
8. Seeley R. (A)
11. Seger G.
23. Slavin J. (C)
65. Shine D. (C)
14. Sorum F. U.
49. Stachowiak W.
6. Suzuki R.
34. Tralmaks E.
4. Valimaki J.
4. Tuomisto A.
41. Vierling E.
22. Wallinder W.
Substitutes
35. Miftakhov A. (G)
33. Cossa S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:00, 1 - 0, Philp N. (G), Nystrom J. (A), Foote C. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
04:02, 2 - 0, Philp N. (G), Foote C. (A), Sorum F. U. (A2)
16:04, 3 - 0, Robidas J. (G), Suzuki R. (A), Nadeau B. (A2)
17:13, 3 - 1, Tralmaks E. (G), Dries S. (A),
19:44, 3 - 2, Brandsegg-Nygard M. (G), Sandin-Pellikka A. (A), Dries S. (A2)
Preview
Chicago Wolves leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Grand Rapids has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 57:54. (average 2.9:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 2.8:3).
Last Results with these Odds
Chicago Wolves - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.99%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Grand Rapids Griffins - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.92%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.