The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicoutimi Sagueneens 48.8%
Draw 20.7%
Shawinigan Cataractes 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.5%
17.4%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
18.2%
20%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicoutimi Sagueneens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicoutimi Sagueneens's form might have worsened.
Shawinigan Cataractes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shawinigan Cataractes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicoutimi Sagueneens than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicoutimi Sagueneens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shawinigan Cataractes than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shawinigan Cataractes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Precourt R. (G)
40. Boucher P. (G)
7. Aptikashev D.
95. Bergeron J.
8. Berthelot C. (C)
2. Boyer S.
25. Dube W.
11. Branton M.
19. Dufour M.
44. Charron O. (A)
12. Gagnon L.
71. Corso B.
2. Kaldenbach B. (A)
92. Desrochers M.
42. Lecompte N. (A)
13. Dumais L.
76. Lemieux-Goupil E.
96. Dupuis K. (A)
94. Mohesky A.
23. Faucher E.
10. O'Neill C.
77. Fortin A.
17. Phillips J.
93. Laframboise D.
88. Poirier L.
86. Lemieux P.
11. Ricard E.
72. Lygitsakos C. (C)
91. Terglav D.
15. Novozhilov P.
86. Terglav N.
29. Ouellet N.
22. Tilley T.
98. Prudhomme J.
71. Toussaint A.
78. Shtyrhunov V.
55. Walsh K.
10. Yared W.
Substitutes
31. Plumins P. (G)
32. Jackson K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
06:28, 1 - 0, Lecompte N. (G), Ricard E. (A),
08:54, 1 - 1, Boyer S. (G), Lemieux P. (A),
10:29, 1 - 2, Shtyrhunov V. (G), Lygitsakos C. (A),
16:34, 1 - 3, Lemieux P. (G), Dumais L. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
15:25, 2 - 3, Dufour M. (G),
18:31, 2 - 4, Lemieux P. (G),
19:21, 2 - 5, Shtyrhunov V. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicoutimi won 4.
In recent outings, Chicoutimi has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Shawinigan has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Chicoutimi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chicoutimi has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 82:58 (averaging 4.1:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chicoutimi against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 44:25 goals (averaging 4.9:2.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Chicoutimi Sagueneens - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.5%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.