Match Info

Polish Hockey League - Round 4

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	ComArch Cracovia		TKH Toruń

	1	X	2
	3.60	5.00	1.59
	4.40	4.80	1.50
	4.23	4.65	1.61
	4.02	4.65	1.6	Watch
	4.15	4.60	1.59
	3.94	4.50	1.61
	4.10	4.30	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.58)	4.64 ↑ (4.5)	1.58 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ComArch Cracovia
22.5%

Draw
19.7%

TKH Toruń
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

20.8%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

21.4%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ComArch Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

TKH Toruń has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ComArch Cracovia than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TKH Toruń than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TKH Toruń, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

ComArch Cracovia - TKH Toruń Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toruń (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Horawski A. (G)	30. Marczak K. (G)
77. Laitinen V.	94. Giminski J.
24. Jaskiewicz O.	49. Brandhammar A.
38. Ubowski M.	86. Larionovs D.
23. Berzins D.	89. Syty N.
76. Airo J.	91. Deniskin A.
Line 2
9. Kapa D.	33. Schafer E.
98. Shkrabov A.	11. Jaworski A.
13. Dawid B.	34. Kolesnikov V.
25. Montgomery S.	17. Arrak R.
20. White J.	8. Peltola S.
Line 3
86. Gorsanovs D.	45. Wilczok W.
5. Metel K.	28. Ossipov R.
95. Kapica D.	14. Hanzawa C.
92. Valtola O.	20. Cybulski M.
11. Kot R.	71. Fraszko A.
Line 4
66. Slusarek J.	67. Izdebski J.
4. Jaracz M.	92. Prokurat J.
97. Guminski S.	19. Kalinowski M.
15. Konarski J.	12. Smal I.
21. Mocarski K.	10. Kalinowski K.
Substitutes
32. Lipiainen S. (G)	51. Studzinski M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
16:16, 1 - 0, Laitinen V. (G), Kapica D. (A),
19:26, 2 - 0, Ubowski M. (G), Berzins D. (A), Airo J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
04:21, 2 - 1, Hanzawa C. (G), Peltola S. (A), Arrak R. (A2)
08:42, 2 - 2, Arrak R. (G), Ossipov R. (A), Hanzawa C. (A2)
15:27, 2 - 3, Kalinowski K. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
13:02, 2 - 4, Arrak R. (G), Hanzawa C. (A), Peltola S. (A2)
18:46, 3 - 4, Laitinen V. (G), Berzins D. (A), Jaskiewicz O. (A2)
20', 3 - 5, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 2.

Cracovia is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Toruń shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Toruń has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Toruń for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Toruń in today's match, at odds of 1.56.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cracovia has recorded 12 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:55 (averaging 3:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cracovia against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 37:24 goals (averaging 3.1:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Torun	8	6	0	0	2	32:21	18
7	Krakow	9	4	0	0	5	21:33	12

Last Results with these Odds

ComArch Cracovia - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 26.19%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ComArch Cracovia
Polska Liga Hokejowa
20.09.26	ComArch Cracovia - GKS Jastrzębie	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	UKH Unia Oświęcim - ComArch Cracovia	7:2 ✺
15.09.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - ComArch Cracovia	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
09.09.26	GKS Jastrzębie - ComArch Cracovia	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	ComArch Cracovia - GKS Jastrzębie	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- TKH Toruń
Polska Liga Hokejowa
20.09.26	TKH Toruń - Polonia Bytom	4:1 ✺
18.09.26	MMKS Podhale - TKH Toruń	2:7 ✺
15.09.26	TKH Toruń - GKS Jastrzębie	8:0 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
05.09.26	TKH Toruń - Kyiv Capitals	4:0
04.09.26	TKH Toruń - Kyiv Capitals	2:4
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polska Liga Hokejowa
30.01.26	ComArch Cracovia - TKH Toruń	2:1
17.12.25	ComArch Cracovia - TKH Toruń	5:4
14.11.25	TKH Toruń - ComArch Cracovia	4:0
10.10.25	ComArch Cracovia - TKH Toruń	2:5
12.09.25	TKH Toruń - ComArch Cracovia	8:3
17.01.25	TKH Toruń - ComArch Cracovia	4:2
03.12.24	ComArch Cracovia - TKH Toruń	0:4

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