Match Info

Continental Cup - Second round

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Angers IceParc (Angers)


	Cortina		Mogo

	1	X	2
	2.95	4.7	1.82
	3.17	3.93	1.76
	3.31	4.32	1.85	Watch
	2.6	4.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.6)	4.36 ↓ (4.5)	1.85 ↓ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cortina
30.1%

Draw
20.8%

Mogo
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

19.8%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

19.4%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cortina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Mogo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortina than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mogo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

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Lineups

Line 1
46. Karjalainen A. (G)	37. Mezsargs K. (G)
47. Pietroniro C. (A)	24. Berzins R.
40. Fortunato B.	14. Fenenko N.
77. Pietroniro M.	16. Daugavins K. (A)
23. Pompanin F.	26. Krums E.
19. Kalajanniska O.	7. Sarkanis D.
Line 2
15. Tolomelli R.	55. Tovariss A.
11. Stoffling J.	2. Jakobsons K.
24. Barnabo L. (A)	87. Meija G. (C)
5. Sanna M. (C)	96. Bicevskis M.
28. Alvera T.	25. Vegeris A.
Line 3
12. Panciera G.	18. Locmelis I.
67. Pietroniro K.	57. Zaicevs V.
8. de Zanna R.	69. Ziemins K.
89. Talamini R.	44. Sprukts G.
36. De Luca A.	17. Zelubovskis E. (A)
Line 4
18. Constantini L.	29. Leonovs A.
65. Toffoli G.	21. Zemitis J.
20. Colli A.	93. Lejnieks R.
79. Talamini A.	23. Vasiljevs R.
97. Lacedelli G.
Substitutes
43. Pompanin A. (G)	30. Lazdins R. G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
18:32, 0 - 1, Meija G. (G), Vegeris A. (A), Locmelis I. (A2)
19:44, 0 - 2, Zemitis J. (G), Lejnieks R. (A), Zelubovskis E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:37, 0 - 3, Daugavins K. (G), Meija G. (A), Bicevskis M. (A2)

Preview

Cortina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mogo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cortina has had a series of home games.

Mogo might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Cortina - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.35%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SG Cortina
IIHF Continental Cup
14.11.25	Cortina - Gyergyói	5:3 ✺
Alps Hockey League
09.11.25	Cortina - Tigers Bregenzerwald	2:3 penalties ✺
08.11.25	Cortina - Sisak	3:2 penalties ✺
01.11.25	Cortina - Acroni Jesenice	4:1 ✺
31.10.25	Cortina - Tigers Bregenzerwald	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWWL
- HK Mogo
IIHF Continental Cup
14.11.25	Mogo - Angers	4:6 ✺
Latvian Hokeja Liga
01.11.25	Mogo - Zemgale LLU	4:0 ✺
30.10.25	HS Rīga - Mogo	0:6 ✺
26.10.25	Punks Vilnius - Mogo	4:5 ✺
25.10.25	Energija Elektrėnai - Mogo	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW

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