Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Olimpico del Ghiaccio (Cortina d'Ampezzo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Valcome TV


	Cortina		Ritten-Renon

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.75	2.4	Watch
	2.27	3.88	2.45
	2.28	4.06	2.48	Watch
	2.25	3.9	2.4
	2.26	3.9	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.29)	3.9 ↓ (4.03)	2.43 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cortina
39.8%

Draw
23.1%

Ritten-Renon
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

22.8%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

24.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cortina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ritten-Renon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortina than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ritten-Renon than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Cortina - Ritten Renon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
46. Karjalainen A. (G)	29. Furlong C. (G)
18. Constantini L.	10. Crespi J.
11. Stoffling J.	16. Madsen P.
23. Pompanin F.	94. Welychka B.
13. Remolato N.	23. Kostner S.
19. Kalajanniska O.	15. Felicetti L.
Line 2
12. Panciera G.	88. Insam M.
40. Fortunato B.	26. Marzolini M.
77. Pietroniro M.	86. Graf T.
47. Pietroniro C.	7. Cuglietta D.
79. Talamini A.	37. Ohler M.
Line 3
98. Pastorello G.	11. Lang M.
36. De Luca A.	5. March G.
28. Alvera T.	77. Oberrauch A.
5. Sanna M.	8. Ohler R.
24. Barnabo L.	76. Oberrauch M.
Line 4
8. de Zanna R.	18. Uffelmann H.
65. Toffoli G.	3. Tauferer D.
97. Lacedelli G.	12. Prast P.
	82. Innerhofer P.
Substitutes
43. Pompanin A. (G)	30. Plattner F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:02, 1 - 0, Sanna M. (G), Alvera T. (A),
16:59, 2 - 0, Pietroniro C. (G), Pietroniro M. (A), Stoffling J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
05:04, 2 - 1, Kostner S. (G), Felicetti L. (A), Welychka B. (A2)
11:57, 3 - 1, Pietroniro C. (G),
19:19, 4 - 1, Pietroniro C. (G),

Preview

Cortina leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cortina won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cortina won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 49:67. (average 2.5:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cortina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 3:4.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
2	Ritten	6	5	0	0	0	1	27:12	15
11	Cortina	5	0	1	0	1	3	10:17	3

Last Results with these Odds

Cortina - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.19%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Ritten-Renon - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.97%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SG Cortina
Alps Hockey League
03.03.26	Ritten-Renon - Cortina	2:3 ✺
26.02.26	Cortina - Kitzbühel	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Kitzbühel - Cortina	6:3 ✺
19.02.26	Unterland Cavaliers - Cortina	4:2 ✺
17.02.26	Cortina - Merano Junior	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLL
- Sportverein Ritten-Renon
Alps Hockey League
03.03.26	Ritten-Renon - Cortina	2:3 ✺
26.02.26	Gherdëina - Ritten-Renon	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Ritten-Renon - Tigers Bregenzerwald	5:6 OT ✺
19.02.26	Ritten-Renon - Acroni Jesenice	6:0 ✺
17.02.26	Acroni Jesenice - Ritten-Renon	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
03.03.26	Ritten-Renon - Cortina	2:3
31.01.26	Ritten-Renon - Cortina	1:3
22.11.25	Ritten-Renon - Cortina	3:0
11.10.25	Cortina - Ritten-Renon	4:3 penalties
04.03.25	Cortina - Ritten-Renon	2:5
20.02.25	Ritten-Renon - Cortina	5:1
Italian Serie A Hockey
28.01.25	Ritten-Renon - Cortina	0:3

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