The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crimmitschau 36%
Draw 22.2%
Dusseldorfer EG 41.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.3%
17.5%
61.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
15%
52.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crimmitschau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crimmitschau's performance.
Dusseldorfer EG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dusseldorfer EG might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crimmitschau than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crimmitschau that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusseldorfer EG than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dusseldorfer EG could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Crimmitschau - Dusseldorfer EG Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
41. Reich K. (G)
34. Langmann J. (G)
21. Sacher M.
63. Faber M.
7. McCormick A.
8. Blumenschein K.
84. Brune L.
98. Turnbull C.
67. Karki J.
81. Mackin C.
89. Streu S.
24. Herrmann F.
Line 2
20. Quaas E.
4. Bodnarchuk A.
45. Dietz S.
58. Balinson M.
18. Adams C.
9. Kemp B.
17. Will L.
22. Bradford E.
88. Wruck D.
20. Jarvelainen V.
Line 3
32. Schulz L.
7. Hense M.
29. Fuchs F.
25. Hammond T.
71. Garthe N.
78. Orendorz K.
75. Shevyrin D.
45. Bast J.
22. Lutz T.
17. Niederberger L.
Line 4
9. Biggins N.
15. Munzenberger N.
86. Neiger L.
11. Pischoff M.
27. Schmid J.
67. Spath M.
3. Holzhausen L.
Substitutes
30. Seidel P. (G)
27. Lunemann N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
03:03, 0 - 1, Kemp B. (G), Bradford E. (A), Balinson M. (A2)
04:44, 0 - 2, Pischoff M. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:21, 1 - 2, Brune L. (G), Streu S. (A), Karki J. (A2)
00:27, 1 - 3, Jarvelainen V. (G), Kemp B. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
09:41, 1 - 4, Niederberger L. (G), Bast J. (A), Orendorz K. (A2)
Preview
Crimmitschau has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Dusseldorf has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Dusseldorf may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Dusseldorf has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Crimmitschau in today's match, at odds of 2.64.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Crimmitschau has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:14 (averaging 4:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Crimmitschau against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:6 goals (averaging 3.5:3 per game).