Match Info

NHL

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday

Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dallas Stars		Vancouver Canucks

	1	X	2
	1.87	4.25	3.4	Watch
	1.88	4.39	3.41
	1.94	4.34	3.3
	1.82	4.36	3.58	Watch
	1.98	4.62	3.23
	1.9	4.56	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.82)	4.42 ↑ (4.36)	3.36 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dallas Stars
50.1%

Draw
21.5%

Vancouver Canucks
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

21.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

20.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dallas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Vancouver Canucks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Canucks than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Dallas Stars - Vancouver Canucks Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Vancouver will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 7 - 70%). Vancouver (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. DeSmith C. (G)	35. Demko T. (G)
4. Heiskanen M. (A)	17. Hronek F.
23. Lindell E. (A)	43. Hughes Q. (C)
96. Rantanen M.	8. Garland C.
24. Hintz R.	40. Pettersson E.
18. Steel S.	18. O'Connor D.
Line 2
5. Lundkvist N.	57. Myers T. (A)
55. Harley T.	29. Pettersson M.
91. Seguin T. (A)	6. Boeser B. (A)
53. Johnston W.	72. Chytil F.
21. Robertson J.	74. DeBrusk J.
Line 3
28. Petrovic A.	90. Mancini V.
6. Bichsel L.	25. Pettersson E. II.
15. Blackwell C.	44. Sherwood K.
22. Bourque M.	54. Raty A.
49. Hryckowian J.	91. Kane E.
Line 4
11. Bastian N.	94. Karlsson L.
12. Faksa R.	63. Sasson M.
76. Erne A.	13. Bains A.
Substitutes
29. Oettinger J. (G)	32. Lankinen K. (G)
Coaches
. Gulutzan G.	. Foote A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
04:29, 1 - 0, Bourque M. (G), Harley T. (A), Faksa R. (A2)
18:25, DeBrusk J. (2 min),
19:22, 2 - 0, Rantanen M. (G), Robertson J. (A), Hintz R. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 4)
04:25, Garland C. (2 min),
06:39, 2 - 1, Chytil F. (G), Kane E. (A), Hronek F. (A2)
06:57, Faksa R. (2 min),
08:50, 2 - 2, Boeser B. (G), Hughes Q. (A), Pettersson E. (A2)
10:06, 2 - 3, Sasson M. (G), Myers T. (A),
18:54, 2 - 4, Garland C. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:30, Raty A. (2 min),
07:04, Harley T. (2 min),
17:25, Myers T. (2 min),
17:52, 3 - 4, Johnston W. (G), Seguin T. (A), Robertson J. (A2)
18:58, Heiskanen M. (2 min),
20', 3 - 5, Hughes Q. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 4.

Dallas has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vancouver has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dallas could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Dallas: Back O. (Injury) Benn Ja. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Vancouver: Hoglander N. (Lower-Body Injury) Joseph P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dallas: Duchene M. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Vancouver: Blueger T. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 53:66. (average 2.7:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:38. (average 2.9:3.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Dallas Stars - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.93%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dallas Stars
NHL
14.10.25	Dallas Stars - Minnesota Wild	5:2 ✺
11.10.25	Colorado Avalanche - Dallas Stars	4:5 penalties ✺
09.10.25	Winnipeg Jets - Dallas Stars	4:5 ✺
04.10.25	Dallas Stars - Colorado Avalanche	3:2 ✺
30.09.25	St. Louis Blues - Dallas Stars	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWWW
- Vancouver Canucks
NHL
13.10.25	Vancouver Canucks - St. Louis Blues	2:5 ✺
11.10.25	Edmonton Oilers - Vancouver Canucks	3:1 ✺
09.10.25	Vancouver Canucks - Calgary Flames	5:1 ✺
03.10.25	Vancouver Canucks - Edmonton Oilers	3:2 OT ✺
01.10.25	Calgary Flames - Vancouver Canucks	1:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
08.04.25	Dallas Stars - Vancouver Canucks	5:6 OT
09.03.25	Vancouver Canucks - Dallas Stars	1:4
31.01.25	Dallas Stars - Vancouver Canucks	5:3
28.03.24	Vancouver Canucks - Dallas Stars	1:3
21.12.23	Dallas Stars - Vancouver Canucks	4:3 OT
04.11.23	Vancouver Canucks - Dallas Stars	2:0
25.03.23	Dallas Stars - Vancouver Canucks	1:3

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