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Current Win Probability
Dallas Stars 40%
Draw 23.1%
Colorado Avalanche 36.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.5%
23%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
23.6%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dallas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Colorado Avalanche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
70%
20%
Dallas Stars - Colorado Avalanche Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Colorado will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% โ 98.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
29. Oettinger J. (G)
39. Blackwood M. (G)
4. Heiskanen M. (A)
70. Malinski S.
23. Lindell E.
7. Toews D. (A)
96. Rantanen M.
88. Necas M.
53. Johnston W.
29. MacKinnon N. (A)
18. Steel S.
62. Lehkonen A.
Line 2
5. Lundkvist N.
84. Burns B.
55. Harley T.
42. Manson J.
14. Benn Ja. (C)
91. Kadri N.
24. Hintz R.
11. Nelson B.
21. Robertson J.
92. Landeskog G. (C)
Line 3
57. Myers T.
47. Juulsen N.
6. Bichsel L.
27. Kulak B.
91. Seguin T. (A)
13. Hughes T.
25. Hyry A.
9. Svechkov F.
49. Hryckowian J.
71. Schwartz J.
Line 4
15. Blackwell C.
17. Kelly P.
12. Faksa R.
10. Roy N.
10. Back O.
68. L'Heureux Z.
Substitutes
1. DeSmith C. (G)
41. Wedgewood S. (G)
Coaches
. Gulutzan G.
. Bednar J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
11:32, 0 - 1, Lehkonen A. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Manson J. (A2)
13:07, Blackwell C. (2 min),
13:07, Malinski S. (2 min),
17:44, Svechkov F. (2 min),
17:44, Svechkov F. (5 min),
17:44, Faksa R. (5 min),
19:06, 1 - 1, Seguin T. (G), Robertson J. (A), Heiskanen M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:05, 1 - 2, Necas M. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Roy N. (A2)
06:46, MacKinnon N. (5 min),
06:46, Hintz R. (5 min),
14:18, Capobianco K. (2 min),
15:52, Faksa R. (2 min),
16:14, 1 - 3, Necas M. (G), Landeskog G. (A), Toews D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:17, 2 - 3, Hintz R. (G), Seguin T. (A), Heiskanen M. (A2)
04:50, Harley T. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Dallas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Dallas: Duchene M.
(Abdominal strain)
Kiviranta J.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Confirmed absences for Colorado: O'Connor L.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Dallas: Faksa R.
(Lower-Body Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dallas has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:65 (averaging 3:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dallas against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 34:31 goals (averaging 3.4:3.1 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Colorado Avalanche: 9.73% Dallas Stars: 4.65%
Last Results with these Odds
Colorado Avalanche - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 38.52%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.