Match Info

NHL

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Victory+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Dallas Stars		Colorado Avalanche

	1	X	2
	2.6	4.1	2.3	Watch
	2.55	4.05	2.42
	2.58	4.17	2.36
	2.58	4.21	2.34	Watch
	2.45	4	2.25
	2.56	4.31	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.64)	4.14 ↑ (4.13)	2.34 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dallas Stars
36.9%

Draw
22.8%

Colorado Avalanche
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

22.9%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

24.3%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dallas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Colorado Avalanche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Dallas Stars - Colorado Avalanche Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Colorado will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Dallas (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
1. DeSmith C. (G)	41. Wedgewood S. (G)
4. Heiskanen M. (A)	70. Malinski S.
23. Lindell E. (A)	7. Toews D.
96. Rantanen M.	88. Necas M.
53. Johnston W.	29. MacKinnon N. (A)
21. Robertson J.	62. Lehkonen A.
Line 2
5. Lundkvist N.	42. Manson J.
55. Harley T.	27. Kulak B.
15. Blackwell C.	13. Nichushkin V.
95. Duchene M.	11. Nelson B.
14. Benn Ja. (C)	92. Landeskog G. (C)
Line 3
46. Lyubushkin I.	84. Burns B.
6. Bichsel L.	37. Blankenburg N.
22. Bourque M.	94. Kiviranta J.
49. Hryckowian J.	91. Kadri N.
10. Back O.	17. Kelly P.
Line 4
20. Capobianco K.	25. O'Connor L.
25. Hyry A.	18. Drury J.
73. Erne A.	20. Colton R.
Substitutes
29. Oettinger J. (G)	39. Blackwood M. (G)
Coaches
. Gulutzan G.	. Bednar J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
10:17, Benn Ja. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
01:57, Kulak B. (2 min),
03:55, Bourque M. (2 min),
03:55, Drury J. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
06:12, Nelson B. (2 min),
10:39, 0 - 1, Necas M. (G), Lehkonen A. (A), Toews D. (A2)
19:02, 0 - 2, MacKinnon N. (G), Necas M. (A), Manson J. (A2)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

Dallas is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )

Colorado is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Colorado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dallas has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Dallas: Bastian N. (Hand Injury) Bunting M. (Lower-Body Injury) Faksa R. (Lower-Body Injury) Hintz R. (Lower-Body Injury) Myers T. (Injury) Seguin T. (Knee Injury) Steel S. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Colorado: Makar C. (Upper-Body Injury) Roy N. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 64:64. (average 3.2:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 3.8:3.2).

Outrights of NHL for now

Colorado Avalanche: 9.6% Dallas Stars: 4.59%

Last Results with these Odds

Dallas Stars - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.82%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Colorado Avalanche - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 41.29%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dallas Stars
NHL
02.04.26	Dallas Stars - Winnipeg Jets	3:0 ✺
31.03.26	Boston Bruins - Dallas Stars	6:3 ✺
29.03.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Dallas Stars	2:1 OT ✺
28.03.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Dallas Stars	3:6 ✺
26.03.26	New York Islanders - Dallas Stars	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL
- Colorado Avalanche
NHL
01.04.26	Colorado Avalanche - Vancouver Canucks	6:8 ✺
30.03.26	Colorado Avalanche - Calgary Flames	9:2 ✺
28.03.26	Colorado Avalanche - Winnipeg Jets	2:4 ✺
26.03.26	Winnipeg Jets - Colorado Avalanche	2:3 ✺
24.03.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Colorado Avalanche	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
18.03.26	Colorado Avalanche - Dallas Stars	1:2 penalties
06.03.26	Dallas Stars - Colorado Avalanche	4:5 penalties
11.10.25	Colorado Avalanche - Dallas Stars	4:5 penalties
04.10.25	Dallas Stars - Colorado Avalanche	3:2
27.09.25	Colorado Avalanche - Dallas Stars	4:1
03.05.25	Dallas Stars - Colorado Avalanche	4:2
01.05.25	Colorado Avalanche - Dallas Stars	7:4

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