Match Info

NHL

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Victory+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Dallas Stars		Vegas Golden Knights

	1	X	2
	2.1	4.1	2.95	Watch
	2.18	4.05	2.95
	2.21	4.24	2.9
	2.1	4.31	2.9	Watch
	2.05	3.9	2.8
	2.15	4.31	2.86
	2	3.75	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.04)	4.09 ↓ (4.31)	2.88 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dallas Stars
44.5%

Draw
22.9%

Vegas Golden Knights
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

22.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

21.1%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dallas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dallas Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Dallas Stars - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Vegas will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. DeSmith C. (G)	33. Hill A. (G)
4. Heiskanen M. (A)	27. Theodore S.
23. Lindell E. (A)	3. McNabb B. (A)
22. Bourque M.	61. Stone M. (C)
53. Johnston W.	9. Eichel J. (A)
21. Robertson J.	49. Barbashev I.
Line 2
5. Lundkvist N.	17. Hutton B.
55. Harley T.	15. Hanifin N.
14. Benn Ja. (C)	93. Marner M.
95. Duchene M.	48. Hertl T.
58. Bunting M.	16. Dorofeyev P.
Line 3
57. Myers T.	4. Andersson R.
6. Bichsel L.	5. Lauzon J.
15. Blackwell C.	42. Bowman B.
49. Hryckowian J.	10. Sissons C.
18. Steel S.	21. Howden B.
Line 4
11. Bastian N.	55. Kolesar K.
10. Back O.	26. Dowd N.
73. Erne A.	22. Smith C.
Substitutes
29. Oettinger J. (G)	40. Schmid A. (G)
Coaches
. Gulutzan G.	. Cassidy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
04:01, 0 - 1, McNabb B. (G), Kolesar K. (A), Theodore S. (A2)
09:48, Lauzon J. (2 min),
10:55, 1 - 1, Johnston W. (G), Duchene M. (A), Heiskanen M. (A2)
16:48, 2 - 1, Hryckowian J. (G), Blackwell C. (A), Steel S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:19, Heiskanen M. (2 min),
07:40, Lundkvist N. (2 min),
09:10, 2 - 2, Barbashev I. (G), Howden B. (A), Sissons C. (A2)
11:41, Eichel J. (2 min),
15:52, (2 min),
19:46, Benn Ja. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
16:22, 2 - 3, Smith R. (G),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Vegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vegas has had a series of home games.

Dallas could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Dallas: Faksa R. (Lower-Body Injury) Hintz R. (Lower-Body Injury) Rantanen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Seguin T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Vegas: Hart C. (Lower-Body Injury) Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury) Rondbjerg J. (Lower-Body Injury)

We predict that Dallas will win today's game, with odds of 2.08.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 46:58. (average 2.3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1.8:3.1).

Outrights of NHL for now

Vegas Golden Knights: 7.21% Dallas Stars: 4.59%

Last Results with these Odds

Dallas Stars - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 47.6%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dallas Stars
NHL
21.03.26	Minnesota Wild - Dallas Stars	2:1 OT ✺
18.03.26	Colorado Avalanche - Dallas Stars	1:2 penalties ✺
16.03.26	Dallas Stars - Utah Mammoth	3:6 ✺
14.03.26	Dallas Stars - Detroit Red Wings	3:2 OT ✺
12.03.26	Dallas Stars - Edmonton Oilers	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLWW
- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
21.03.26	Nashville Predators - Vegas Golden Knights	4:1 ✺
19.03.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Utah Mammoth	0:4 ✺
17.03.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Buffalo Sabres	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Chicago Blackhawks	4:0 ✺
12.03.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
10.03.26	Dallas Stars - Vegas Golden Knights	2:1
29.01.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Dallas Stars	4:5 penalties
28.01.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Dallas Stars	3:4 OT
24.01.25	Dallas Stars - Vegas Golden Knights	4:3
06.12.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Dallas Stars	3:2
05.05.24	Dallas Stars - Vegas Golden Knights	2:1
03.05.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Dallas Stars	2:0

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