Match Info
World ChampionshipDate: 24 May 2026, SundayLocation: BCF-Arena (Fribourg)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Canada | TSN+ |
Czech-republic | CT sport Plus |
Denmark | TV3, TV3+, Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Polsat Box Go, Polsat Sport 2 |
Slovakia | JOJ Play, JOJ Sport |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF Play, SRF Play |
Usa | ESPN+, NHL Network |
World | IIHF TV |
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Denmark |
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Italy |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
- The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Denmark 63.8% | Draw 18.5% | Italy 17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Denmark has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denmark's form might have worsened.Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Italy's recent form is better than expected.Denmark - Italy Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Denmark will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Italy will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Denmark: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Italy (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5, OT - Italy (7.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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30. Sogaard M. (G) Ottawa Senators
| 35. Fadani D. (G) Kloten
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42. Bruggisser P. Pinguins Bremerhaven
| 37. Pietroniro P. Kladno
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41. Jensen J. (C) Klagenfurt
| 55. Zanatta L. (A) Val Pusteria
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29. Aagaard M. (A) Skelleftea
| 13. Bradley M. Bolzano
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63. Russell P. (A) Kolner Haie
| 19. Misley B. Bolzano
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95. Olesen N. Ceske Budejovice
| 88. De Luca T. Ambri-Piotta
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| Line 2 |
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21. Larsen K. Herning Blue Fox
| 90. Di Perna D. Bolzano
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40. Koch A. Graz 99ers
| 53. Trivellato A. (C) Schwenninger
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38. Poulsen M. Herning Blue Fox
| 71. Zanetti M. Lugano
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11. True A. JYP Jyvaskyla
| 67. Frycklund M. Val Pusteria
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86. Blichfeld J. Tappara
| 18. Saracino N. Val Pusteria
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| Line 3 |
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3. Setkov M. JYP Jyvaskyla
| 49. Nitz G. Hameenlinna
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22. Lauridsen M. Val Pusteria
| 10. Spornberger P. Iserlohn Roosters
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77. From M. Kiekko-Espoo
| 34. Purdeller T. Val Pusteria
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6. Kjaer O. Esbjerg Energy
| 9. Mantenuto D. (A) Bolzano
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9. Storm F. Kolner Haie
| 36. DiGiacinto C. Bolzano
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| Line 4 |
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36. Baastrup D. Odense Bulldogs
| 44. Gios G. Asiago
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39. Schmidt-Svejstrup J. Sonderjyske
| 17. Buono C. Gherdeina
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65. Wejse C. Pinguins Bremerhaven
| 7. Segafredo A. Zurich
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82. Madsen D. Vasteras
| 46. Deluca I. Val Pusteria
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| 22. Mantinger M. Val Pusteria
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| Substitutes |
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1. Henriksen N. (G) Esbjerg Energy
| 30. Smith J. (G) Angers
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54. Scheel F. Schwenninger
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| Coaches |
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. Gath M.
| . Jalonen J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 02:33, 1 - 0, Wejse C. (G), Bruggisser P. (A), Schmidt-Svejstrup J. (A2)
- 02:49, 2 - 0, Aagaard M. (G), Olesen N. (A), Larsen K. (A2)
- 05:43, De Luca T. (2 min),
- 13:49, Poulsen M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 00:54, Larsen K. (2 min),
- 01:17, 2 - 1, Purdeller T. (G), Frycklund M. (A), Buono C. (A2)
- 09:14, Di Perna D. (2 min),
- 12:06, Lauridsen M. (2 min),
- 15:34, 2 - 2, Purdeller T. (G), Frycklund M. (A), Trivellato A. (A2)
- 18:08, De Luca T. (2 min),
- 19:29, Kjaer O. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- 02:24, (2 min),
- Penalties (1 - 0)
- 1, Olesen N. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Mantenuto D. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Blichfeld J. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Purdeller T. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Aagaard M. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Misley B. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Russell P. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Bradley M. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Storm F. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Frycklund M. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
Denmark has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Italy has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Italy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Denmark is the team to beat.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Denmark won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| IIHF World Championship | | | 17.05.22 | Italy - Denmark | 1:2 | | 15.05.17 | Denmark - Italy | 2:0 | | 13.05.14 | Italy - Denmark | 1:4 | | 06.05.12 | Denmark - Italy | 0:2 |
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