The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Detroit Red Wings 38.7%
Draw 22.9%
New Jersey Devils 38.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.6%
23.6%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
24.1%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Detroit Red Wings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
New Jersey Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.4%
45.5%
18.2%
Detroit Red Wings - New Jersey Devils Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 4 - 40%). New Jersey will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 9.6% โ 70.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
36. Gibson J. (G)
34. Allen J. (G)
53. Seider M.
22. Pesce B.
8. Chiarot B.
43. Hughes L.
23. Raymond L.
63. Bratt J. (A)
71. Larkin D.
86. Hughes J. (A)
33. Arvidsson V.
39. Mantha A.
Line 2
42. Johansson A.
7. Hamilton D.
20. Johansson A.
71. Siegenthaler J.
28. Brandsegg-Nygard M.
77. Evangelista L.
58. Finnie E.
13. Hischier N. (C)
93. DeBrincat A.
28. Meier T.
Line 3
72. Faulk J.
47. Chisholm D.
54. Wallinder W.
5. Dillon B.
55. Kolesar K.
91. Mercer D.
18. Copp A.
17. Rodrigues E.
27. Rasmussen M.
81. Gritsyuk A.
Line 4
34. Mazur C.
70. Boqvist J.
29. Danielson N.
12. Glass C.
15. Dries S.
93. Lombardi A.
Substitutes
80. Tarasov D. (G)
50. Daws N. (G)
Coaches
. McLellan T.
. Keefe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
06:07, 0 - 1, Rodrigues E. (G), Noesen S. (A), Mantha A. (A2)
18:35, 1 - 1, Finnie E. (G), Brandsegg-Nygard M. (A), Johansson A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 3)
01:43, 2 - 1, Brandsegg-Nygard M. (G), Finnie E. (A), DeBrincat A. (A2)
07:03, 2 - 2, Mantha A. (G), Mercer D. (A), Rodrigues E. (A2)
09:30, Kolesar K. (2 min),
10:16, 2 - 3, Hischier N. (G), Bratt J. (A), Hughes J. (A2)
15:10, 3 - 3, DeBrincat A. (G), Sandin-Pellikka A. (A), Faulk J. (A2)
16:52, 3 - 4, Bratt J. (G), Siegenthaler J. (A), Hughes J. (A2)
17:54, Lombardi A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:46, 4 - 4, DeBrincat A. (G), Seider M. (A), Chiarot B. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:18, 4 - 5, Hughes J. (G), Bratt J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Detroit (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by New Jersey have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
New Jersey may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Detroit: Appleton M.
(Injury)
Compher J.T.
(Injury)
Kasper M.
(Upper-Body Injury).
Confirmed absences for New Jersey: Bjugstad N.
(Chest Injury)
Brown C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Casey S.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for New Jersey: Evangelista L.
(Illness).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Detroit has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:59 (averaging 3.2:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Detroit against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 29:30 goals (averaging 3.2:3.3 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
New Jersey Devils: 5.29% Detroit Red Wings: 0.34%
Last Results with these Odds
Detroit Red Wings - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.64%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
New Jersey Devils - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.72%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.